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TTWO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-02-07

⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Take-Two Interactive Software Inc SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 14, 1997 🔗 www.take2games.com
💰 Market Cap: $45.41B 👥 Employees: 12,928
Take-Two is one of the largest global developers and publishers of video games, with labels including Rockstar, 2K, and Zynga. Grand Theft Auto is the firm's biggest franchise, accounting for about 30% of total sales for the past decade. NBA 2K is the industry's dominant basketball video game, with Take-Two releasing a new version annually. Other notable franchises include Red Dead Redemption, Borderlands, and Civilization. Typically, more than three-fourths of the firm's sales are from in-game spending, with the remainder coming from initial game sales. Since acquiring Zynga in 2022, mobile makes up about half of total sales.
📊
29
Total Alerts
🎯
62.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.34%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.50%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.1%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +2.87%
Worst: -2.17%
Trades: 18/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.1%
Avg Gain: +0.62%
Avg Winner: +1.57%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +6.29%
Worst: -2.52%
Trades: 18/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.1%
Avg Gain: +0.67%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +4.86%
Worst: -2.88%
Trades: 18/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: +0.43%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +5.62%
Worst: -4.98%
Trades: 14/15

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.47%
Avg Winner: +2.09%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: +7.26%
Worst: -3.63%
Trades: 16/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.50%
Best MFE: +7.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 146 min

On average, TTWO alerts reach +2.50% profit potential within 146 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.78%
Worst MAE: -2.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.78%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.21:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.21x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, TTWO typically reaches +2.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 44.8%
Avg Gap +0.12%
Best Gap +1.89%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How TTWO compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TTWO: +0.34% Sector: -0.09% +0.43%
EOD Gain
TTWO: +0.47% Sector: +73.64% -73.17%
Avg MFE
TTWO: +2.50% Sector: +4.32% -1.83%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TTWO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:26:27 $198.4 +2.17% +3.73% +4.86% +5.62% +5.23% +7.30% -1.22% -0.20% WIN
2024-02-09 09:27:01 $154.8 +1.32% +0.10% +0.54% -0.47% +0.07% +2.14% -1.66% +0.06% WIN
2023-12-13 09:27:00 $162.01 +0.61% +0.09% +0.06% -0.06% +0.69% +1.25% -0.72% -0.54% WIN
2023-12-05 09:25:00 $152.07 +2.87% +3.02% +2.42% +1.62% +3.08% +3.89% +0.03% +1.44% WIN
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $148.88 -2.17% -0.80% -1.65% -2.87% -3.63% +0.08% -0.57% -0.45% LOSS
2023-05-18 09:25:00 $137.9 -0.85% +0.78% +0.07% +0.94% +1.25% +2.94% -2.28% +0.35% LOSS
2023-01-09 09:26:00 $105.26 +0.08% +0.22% +0.69% +1.33% -0.15% +1.93% -0.12% - WIN
2022-12-19 09:25:00 $101.79 -1.52% -2.52% -2.86% -2.26% -3.14% -1.17% -1.57% -1.40% LOSS
2022-11-16 09:25:00 $101.22 -1.03% +0.06% +0.01% +1.08% -0.41% +1.43% -1.08% -0.53% LOSS
2022-11-08 09:25:00 $91.99 -1.37% +6.29% +4.72% +3.97% +1.72% +7.57% -2.16% -0.10% LOSS
2022-10-06 09:25:00 $121.0 +0.03% -0.17% +1.31% -0.79% +0.31% +1.33% -0.36% - WIN
2022-09-19 09:25:00 $121.3 +0.31% -0.16% +0.92% +0.86% +3.12% +3.52% -1.03% +0.54% WIN
2022-08-31 09:25:00 $123.99 +0.45% +1.14% +1.09% -0.03% -1.15% +1.36% +0.14% +0.35% WIN
2022-08-30 09:25:00 $124.12 +0.09% -0.35% -0.52% -1.16% -0.87% +0.31% -0.14% +0.02% WIN
2022-08-26 09:25:00 $128.48 -0.84% +0.61% -0.08% -0.40% -0.79% +1.53% -1.17% -0.25% LOSS
2022-08-25 09:25:00 $123.96 -0.19% -0.44% -0.31% +0.52% +1.23% +1.23% -0.70% -0.29% LOSS
2022-08-17 09:25:00 $133.4 +1.60% +0.87% -0.08% -0.48% -0.30% +1.82% +0.04% +0.68% WIN
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $124.5 +0.16% -0.12% -0.04% +0.14% -3.08% +0.71% +0.13% +0.59% WIN
2022-08-08 09:25:00 $125.5 +1.09% +2.05% +2.73% +2.65% +0.01% +3.59% -0.24% +0.29% WIN
2022-07-28 09:25:00 $131.0 -0.26% +0.45% -0.16% -0.69% -0.50% +0.80% -1.01% -0.32% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.1% Baseline on TTWO

The 62.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TTWO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TTWO Strategy →

Why Analyze TTWO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TTWO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TTWO historically offers an average upside of +2.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TTWO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.1%, TTWO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TTWO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.