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TVGN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 44 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-04 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (44 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 15, 2024 🔗 www.tevogen.com
💰 Market Cap: $69.5M 👥 Employees: 17
Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc a clinical-stage specialty immunotherapy company harnessing CD8+ cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CD8+ CTLs or CTLs), to develop off-the-shelf, precision T cell therapies for the treatment of infectious diseases, cancers, and neurological disorders.
📊
44
Total Alerts
🎯
38.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.26%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+12.36%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +4.28%
Avg Loser: -3.24%
Best: +15.84%
Worst: -10.61%
Trades: 17/26

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +6.92%
Avg Loser: -5.53%
Best: +29.21%
Worst: -16.11%
Trades: 17/27

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.1%
Avg Gain: -1.94%
Avg Winner: +5.12%
Avg Loser: -5.79%
Best: +25.52%
Worst: -20.79%
Trades: 15/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.40%
Avg Winner: +11.60%
Avg Loser: -6.30%
Best: +45.31%
Worst: -21.83%
Trades: 11/30

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.85%
Avg Winner: +13.99%
Avg Loser: -10.58%
Best: +35.64%
Worst: -28.87%
Trades: 17/26

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.36%
Best MFE: +65.77%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, TVGN alerts reach +12.36% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.17%
Worst MAE: -25.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 44 alerts, TVGN typically reaches +12.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 44
Gap Up % 27.3%
Avg Gap -0.52%
Best Gap +4.52%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How TVGN compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TVGN: -0.26% Sector: -0.41% +0.15%
EOD Gain
TVGN: -0.85% Sector: +1233.50% -1234.35%
Avg MFE
TVGN: +12.36% Sector: +6.69% +5.68%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TVGN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:25:13 $1.4 +2.86% +2.86% +3.51% +5.71% +4.29% +11.43% -0.71% +1.43% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:19 $1.46 +1.18% +9.59% +6.16% -2.05% -0.68% +13.01% -0.02% +2.74% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:12 $1.49 -1.98% +2.01% -0.13% -6.07% +2.68% +8.72% -8.72% - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:29 $1.9 -10.01% -16.11% -20.79% -17.37% -11.58% +1.05% -25.00% -3.16% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:26 $1.49 +2.46% -0.66% -1.68% - -9.40% +5.37% -1.34% -0.67% WIN
2025-01-10 09:29:04 $1.29 -1.16% -1.95% -3.10% -5.04% +12.40% +13.18% -6.98% -1.55% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:25:18 $1.59 -5.35% -14.47% -10.06% -6.90% -18.87% +0.59% -1.89% -2.52% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:25:22 $1.13 +0.44% -0.98% +0.44% +3.36% +19.47% +21.24% -2.21% +0.89% WIN
2024-12-27 09:26:50 $1.03 -1.85% +2.91% +2.43% -1.47% - +3.88% -1.85% +0.97% LOSS
2024-12-26 09:28:03 $1.1 -2.27% -0.04% -1.82% -3.74% -4.55% +0.91% -4.09% -0.91% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:28:51 $0.9 -1.09% -2.21% -3.89% -2.85% +7.18% +11.11% -3.89% +1.00% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:28:28 $1.43 -1.05% -2.80% +2.10% -0.70% -6.29% +6.29% -3.44% -0.70% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:28:39 $1.49 -4.03% -5.37% -3.36% -6.75% -4.70% +0.07% -4.70% - LOSS
2024-11-22 09:26:12 $1.6 -2.50% +5.00% +1.88% +1.88% -6.25% +5.94% -5.62% -2.50% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:29:42 $1.42 -1.76% -3.48% -2.46% +0.74% +15.49% +19.72% -4.19% -1.41% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:28:00 $1.65 -4.24% -1.52% - -9.10% -13.94% +6.67% -7.27% - LOSS
2024-11-19 09:28:59 $1.32 +0.08% -0.04% -2.27% -3.02% +3.03% +4.55% -4.55% -2.27% WIN
2024-11-14 09:27:08 $1.77 +1.69% -2.23% -4.80% -3.39% -16.38% +4.52% +1.69% +4.52% WIN
2024-11-13 09:27:02 $1.84 -2.45% -6.02% -7.06% -4.86% -2.17% +2.17% -11.96% -2.72% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:29:44 $1.42 +4.22% +14.08% +3.17% +7.74% +33.10% +34.51% -3.52% -2.82% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TVGN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 38.6% win rate and -0.26% average gain, TVGN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TVGN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TVGN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TVGN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TVGN historically offers an average upside of +12.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TVGN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 38.6%, TVGN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TVGN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TVGN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.26%). This suggests TVGN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.