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Latest signal:

TWM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 249 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2024-11-06

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares UltraShort Russell2000
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 12, 2008
📊
249
Total Alerts
🎯
73.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+190.96%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.93%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +2.29%
Worst: -2.17%
Trades: 121/124

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +3.33%
Worst: -2.89%
Trades: 117/122

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +3.69%
Worst: -3.21%
Trades: 114/133

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +4.08%
Worst: -4.33%
Trades: 121/122

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 73.4%
Avg Gain: +190.96%
Avg Winner: +260.86%
Avg Loser: -1.83%
Best: +429.02%
Worst: -4.78%
Trades: 182/65

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.93%
Best MFE: +7.38%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, TWM alerts reach +1.93% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.79%
Worst MAE: -5.97%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.79%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.44:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 249 alerts, TWM typically reaches +1.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 249
Gap Up % 52.2%
Avg Gap +0.05%
Best Gap +1.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TWM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-06 09:28:37 $7.86 +2.29% +3.33% +3.69% +1.46% +0.13% +4.74% - +0.89% WIN
2024-10-04 09:28:24 $9.28 +0.22% -0.21% +0.97% +1.53% +0.11% +1.89% -0.59% - WIN
2024-09-24 09:25:27 $9.3 +0.22% +0.11% +0.11% +0.86% +0.54% +1.94% -0.22% +0.11% WIN
2024-09-19 09:26:57 $9.03 +0.89% +1.88% +1.88% +1.44% +0.66% +3.05% - - WIN
2024-09-11 09:27:15 $10.59 +0.38% +0.76% +1.13% +2.46% +393.39% +3.21% +0.09% +0.19% WIN
2024-09-06 09:28:09 $10.17 -0.79% -0.49% -0.29% +2.46% +418.19% +4.38% -1.28% -0.10% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:28:53 $10.22 -0.64% +0.10% +0.98% +0.31% -0.78% +1.37% -0.78% +0.10% LOSS
2024-08-09 09:28:20 $10.65 +0.47% +0.85% +0.75% +0.75% +0.56% +1.98% -0.09% -0.09% WIN
2024-08-07 09:25:50 $10.56 +0.95% +0.66% +0.38% +2.18% +5.97% +6.36% - +0.09% WIN
2024-08-06 09:25:08 $11.08 +1.08% +0.99% -0.54% -1.81% -1.53% +1.81% -0.18% -0.09% WIN
2024-08-05 09:29:16 $11.61 +0.69% +0.34% -0.60% -1.12% +380.62% +0.90% -0.17% -0.17% WIN
2024-08-02 09:28:31 $10.48 +0.24% -0.86% -0.48% +0.91% +399.52% +1.67% -1.91% +0.19% WIN
2024-07-26 09:29:46 $9.21 -0.76% -0.87% -1.41% +0.54% -0.65% +1.74% -1.79% -0.43% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:28:09 $9.32 -0.97% -1.45% -3.11% -1.07% +400.54% +0.61% -3.70% +0.11% LOSS
2024-07-12 09:25:52 $10.15 +0.39% +0.10% +0.20% -1.38% +0.39% +0.69% +0.34% +0.39% WIN
2024-07-11 09:29:04 $10.72 +0.23% +0.14% -0.47% -1.82% -2.99% +0.98% -0.14% +0.09% WIN
2024-06-28 09:25:14 $11.14 +0.27% -0.36% +0.54% -0.16% +0.81% +2.42% -0.81% -0.09% WIN
2024-06-21 09:26:38 $11.65 +0.69% +1.20% +1.29% +0.60% -0.09% +1.80% -0.17% +0.43% WIN
2024-06-14 09:27:44 $11.73 -0.43% -0.43% -0.12% +0.68% +402.56% +1.32% -0.68% -0.17% LOSS
2024-06-13 09:27:02 $11.24 +0.44% +0.62% +1.38% +2.05% +408.01% +3.02% +0.09% +0.27% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 73.4% Baseline on TWM

The 73.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TWM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TWM Strategy →

Why Analyze TWM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TWM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TWM historically offers an average upside of +1.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TWM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.4%, TWM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TWM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +190.96%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.