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Latest signal:

TZA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 757 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3x Shares
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 05, 2008
📊
757
Total Alerts
🎯
51.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +2.93%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 357/385

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.2%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +5.26%
Worst: -4.85%
Trades: 379/364

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -1.33%
Best: +7.48%
Worst: -5.39%
Trades: 378/369

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +6.82%
Worst: -6.91%
Trades: 385/365

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.80%
Avg Loser: -2.77%
Best: +15.02%
Worst: -13.87%
Trades: 382/368

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.82%
Best MFE: +17.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 150 min

On average, TZA alerts reach +2.82% profit potential within 150 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.04%
Worst MAE: -8.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.71:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.71x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 757 alerts, TZA typically reaches +2.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 757
Gap Up % 53.4%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +2.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TZA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:41 $11.98 +0.08% -0.57% -0.26% +0.63% +1.67% +2.17% -0.96% -0.17% WIN
2025-02-13 09:27:34 $12.27 +0.90% +0.90% +0.91% +1.30% -1.14% +2.11% -0.00% +0.41% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:47 $12.75 -0.04% -0.31% -0.97% -0.75% -1.57% +0.78% - +0.16% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:27:54 $12.34 - -0.53% -1.28% -1.01% -1.05% +0.08% -0.57% -0.16% -
2025-02-10 09:27:30 $11.91 +1.22% +1.72% +1.99% +1.85% +0.59% +2.14% - +0.25% WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:13 $11.74 -0.27% +0.25% -0.30% +0.98% +3.41% +4.00% -0.77% -0.26% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:25:19 $11.46 -0.09% +0.27% +1.40% +1.13% +2.27% +4.14% -0.35% - LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:20 $11.85 -0.34% +0.13% +0.08% -0.72% -2.03% +1.27% -0.76% -0.25% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:44 $12.53 -0.56% -0.24% -1.28% -2.11% -4.23% +0.64% - +0.16% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:55 $12.82 +0.31% +0.04% +0.24% -2.54% -2.42% +1.40% -0.31% +0.47% WIN
2025-01-31 09:25:51 $11.74 +0.34% -0.17% +0.17% -0.99% +2.81% +4.09% -2.21% -0.17% WIN
2025-01-30 09:28:55 $11.76 -0.68% -0.77% -1.06% +0.17% -0.09% +1.96% -2.21% - LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:33 $12.07 -0.08% -0.33% -1.12% -1.41% +0.25% +2.44% -2.32% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:22 $12.05 -0.12% +0.79% +0.50% -0.41% -0.25% +1.83% -0.95% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:37 $12.02 -0.71% -1.41% -3.41% -2.87% +0.33% +1.97% -3.66% - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:31 $11.72 +0.17% - +0.26% -0.60% - +0.78% -0.68% -0.26% WIN
2025-01-23 09:27:47 $11.99 -0.46% -0.58% +0.04% -0.60% -3.00% +0.33% -1.00% -0.08% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:24 $11.62 -0.09% +0.39% -0.34% +0.17% +1.29% +1.77% -0.84% -0.34% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:05 $11.94 -0.84% -0.71% -0.42% -1.14% -3.43% +0.29% -1.42% -0.42% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:18 $11.99 +0.42% +0.59% +0.83% +2.09% +2.09% +3.09% -0.58% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.0% Baseline on TZA

The 51.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TZA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TZA Strategy →

Why Analyze TZA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TZA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TZA historically offers an average upside of +2.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TZA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.0%, TZA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TZA performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.