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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TZA

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.1% at 60-min n=877 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3x ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 05, 2008
Total alerts
877
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
51.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
+0.04%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.74%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TZA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +2.93%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 404/453

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +5.26%
Worst: -4.85%
Trades: 445/416

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +7.48%
Worst: -5.39%
Trades: 441/426

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.66%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +7.15%
Worst: -6.91%
Trades: 447/422

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.68%
Avg Loser: -2.69%
Best: +15.02%
Worst: -13.87%
Trades: 447/422

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.74%
Best MFE: +17.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 149 min

On average, TZA alerts reach +2.74% profit potential within 149 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.01%
Worst MAE: -8.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.7:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.7x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 877 alerts, TZA typically reaches +2.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 877
Gap Up % 50.9%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +2.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TZA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $45.29 +0.55% +0.10% +0.21% -0.55% +1.06% +1.70% -1.24% +0.07% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $47.78 -0.23% +0.22% +0.54% +1.09% -1.78% +2.06% -1.01% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $46.35 +0.39% +0.67% +0.84% +0.78% +2.42% +2.52% -0.30% -0.06% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $46.13 +0.26% +0.18% +0.61% +1.11% +1.63% +3.40% -0.47% +0.35% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $46.35 +0.35% +0.22% +0.26% -0.60% +0.00% +1.36% -0.73% -0.21% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $45.35 -0.09% +0.11% +0.29% +0.93% +0.20% +1.76% -0.57% -0.24% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $45.68 +0.22% +0.24% +0.84% +1.00% -0.37% +2.42% -0.42% -0.02% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $43.65 +0.16% +1.08% +1.77% +2.38% +3.92% +4.02% -0.39% -0.27% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $42.74 +0.76% +0.42% -0.54% +0.37% +0.58% +1.79% -1.31% +0.01% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $43.77 +0.96% +1.10% +1.26% +0.61% +0.96% +1.65% -0.16% +0.18% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $44.62 -0.43% +1.08% +1.41% +1.61% +0.56% +2.17% -0.67% -0.26% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $43.13 -0.36% +0.81% +0.79% +0.56% +2.50% +2.62% -0.65% -0.30% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $44.06 -0.36% -0.09% -1.23% -0.03% +1.91% +4.97% -1.42% +0.07% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $43.6 +0.31% +0.75% +0.97% +1.56% +1.57% +2.74% -0.24% +0.15% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $43.55 -0.05% -0.97% -0.79% -0.24% -0.39% +0.46% -1.41% +0.09% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $42.01 -0.21% +0.00% +1.07% +1.65% +2.19% +2.30% -0.55% +0.21% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $43.24 +0.26% -0.37% -0.00% -1.69% +0.35% +0.90% -1.73% -0.44% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $40.93 -0.32% +0.20% +0.49% +1.15% +2.84% +3.20% -0.63% +0.05% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $40.14 +0.57% +1.12% +0.05% +0.29% +0.67% +1.15% -0.17% +0.07% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $40.65 -0.05% -0.20% -0.61% -1.50% -1.84% +0.59% -0.20% +0.42% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 51.1% Baseline on TZA

The 51.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push TZA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TZA Strategy →

Why Analyze TZA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TZA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TZA historically offers an average upside of +2.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TZA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.1%, TZA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TZA performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.