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UA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 32 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (32 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Under Armour, Inc. Class C Common Stock, $0.0003 1/3 par value APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL (SIC 2300)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 23, 2016 🔗 www.underarmour.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.63B 👥 Employees: 14,400
Under Armour develops, markets, and distributes athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories in North America, Asia-Pacific, Europe, and Latin America. Consumers of its performance-based clothing and shoes include professional and amateur athletes, sponsored college and professional teams, and people with active lifestyles. The company sells merchandise through wholesale partners, company-owned digital channels, and approximately 450 company-owned outlet and full-price stores. The Baltimore-based firm was founded in 1996 and is led by controlling shareholder Kevin Plank.
📊
32
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.07%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.68%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -1.32%
Best: +2.29%
Worst: -2.25%
Trades: 20/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +3.05%
Avg Loser: -2.33%
Best: +8.77%
Worst: -5.33%
Trades: 17/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 59.4%
Avg Gain: +0.90%
Avg Winner: +3.35%
Avg Loser: -2.67%
Best: +9.84%
Worst: -5.97%
Trades: 19/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.86%
Avg Winner: +3.92%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: +12.27%
Worst: -5.52%
Trades: 17/15

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +3.52%
Avg Loser: -3.64%
Best: +10.07%
Worst: -9.44%
Trades: 16/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.68%
Best MFE: +15.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 90 min

On average, UA alerts reach +3.68% profit potential within 90 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.91%
Worst MAE: -6.06%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 32 alerts, UA typically reaches +3.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 32
Gap Up % 46.9%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +2.13%

🏭 Sector Comparison: APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL

How UA compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UA: +0.07% Sector: -0.22% +0.29%
EOD Gain
UA: +0.05% Sector: +79.60% -79.54%
Avg MFE
UA: +3.68% Sector: +3.31% +0.37%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:27:25 $7.54 -2.25% -1.33% +1.53% -1.19% -6.63% +3.05% +3.05% +0.66% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:29:25 $9.21 +1.57% +7.98% +8.79% +12.27% +7.93% +15.31% -0.87% +0.43% WIN
2024-08-08 09:25:29 $7.05 +1.63% +4.54% +4.89% +6.31% +5.25% +6.67% -0.71% +0.14% WIN
2024-05-16 09:25:04 $6.1 +2.29% +8.77% +9.84% +10.25% +8.85% +12.54% +0.16% +2.13% WIN
2024-04-30 09:27:24 $6.56 -0.61% -0.46% -0.99% -0.61% -0.61% +0.30% +0.30% -0.30% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:29:23 $6.39 +1.64% +1.56% +2.35% +2.66% +1.25% +2.97% +0.16% +0.63% WIN
2024-04-10 09:27:24 $6.4 +0.78% +0.62% +0.86% +1.02% +0.78% +1.72% -0.31% +0.47% WIN
2024-03-14 09:27:27 $7.34 +0.14% -4.22% -5.87% -5.52% -4.77% +1.23% -0.14% -0.55% WIN
2024-02-08 09:28:54 $7.88 +0.19% -5.33% -2.35% -5.39% -5.33% +1.52% -1.27% -0.51% WIN
2023-12-22 09:29:00 $8.46 +0.30% +1.65% +0.12% -0.12% +0.35% +2.13% -2.48% -0.35% WIN
2023-11-08 09:25:00 $6.76 -1.18% +3.18% +5.10% +4.29% +3.55% +6.51% -4.07% -1.18% LOSS
2023-09-29 09:27:00 $6.25 +1.76% +2.88% +3.04% +2.24% +2.08% +3.36% - +0.32% WIN
2023-08-23 09:25:00 $6.5 -0.69% -1.08% -0.46% -0.54% -0.15% +0.62% -0.15% -1.08% LOSS
2023-06-23 09:28:00 $6.56 -1.83% -0.15% +0.46% +0.61% - +1.22% -1.98% -0.76% LOSS
2023-05-09 09:25:00 $7.31 -2.19% +0.82% +1.71% +1.72% +1.09% +3.15% -2.74% -0.55% LOSS
2023-02-08 09:29:00 $10.91 -0.73% -2.84% -3.99% -5.04% -9.44% +0.82% -1.01% +0.46% LOSS
2022-11-03 09:25:00 $6.57 +1.52% +6.85% +8.22% +9.82% +5.17% +10.96% -0.91% +0.30% WIN
2022-10-21 09:25:00 $5.82 +0.69% +1.37% +2.32% +1.37% +4.64% +5.15% - +1.37% WIN
2022-09-30 09:25:00 $6.11 -1.97% -5.25% -0.65% +0.49% -2.46% +3.27% -6.06% -0.65% LOSS
2022-08-03 09:25:00 $8.45 +1.07% +3.01% +2.31% +1.89% +0.12% +3.55% -0.59% -0.59% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on UA

The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UA Strategy →

Why Analyze UA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UA historically offers an average upside of +3.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, UA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UA performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.