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UBS Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 167 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-04
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, UBS alerts reach +1.04% profit potential within 155 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.38%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.73x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 167 alerts, UBS typically reaches +1.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical UBS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-04 | 09:26:25 | $32.94 | - | -1.15% | -0.65% | -1.02% | -1.61% | +0.36% | -0.24% | -0.02% | - |
| 2025-01-03 | 09:28:51 | $31.61 | -0.32% | -0.16% | -0.38% | -1.04% | -0.60% | -0.02% | -0.41% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-30 | 09:27:19 | $31.57 | -0.06% | +0.25% | +0.60% | +0.25% | -0.70% | +1.08% | -0.41% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:28:18 | $30.99 | -0.06% | +0.11% | -0.21% | -0.45% | +0.06% | +0.39% | -0.61% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-14 | 09:27:52 | $30.49 | +0.54% | +1.02% | +0.95% | +1.26% | +1.31% | +1.77% | -0.13% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2024-08-02 | 09:29:33 | $28.47 | -0.74% | +0.02% | -0.46% | -0.74% | -1.55% | +0.11% | -0.86% | -0.07% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-07 | 09:29:41 | $30.1 | -0.70% | -0.68% | -0.88% | -1.06% | -1.86% | -0.03% | -0.17% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-22 | 09:26:55 | $27.78 | -0.11% | -0.29% | +0.18% | +0.29% | +0.68% | +1.08% | -0.32% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-16 | 09:27:26 | $28.24 | -0.32% | -0.81% | -0.64% | -0.83% | -0.89% | +0.04% | +0.04% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-10 | 09:26:32 | $29.66 | +0.29% | +0.17% | +0.17% | +0.24% | -0.71% | +0.81% | -0.10% | +0.57% | WIN |
| 2024-03-28 | 09:29:13 | $30.47 | +0.46% | +0.38% | +0.71% | +0.26% | +0.82% | +1.12% | +0.07% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2024-03-27 | 09:29:03 | $31.2 | +0.48% | +0.43% | +0.35% | +0.19% | +0.64% | +0.64% | -0.16% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2024-03-15 | 09:27:42 | $31.77 | -0.35% | -0.09% | -0.16% | +0.22% | +0.50% | +1.13% | -0.63% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:26:41 | $30.99 | -0.02% | +0.42% | +0.10% | -0.21% | -0.45% | +0.65% | -0.55% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-07 | 09:26:18 | $29.67 | +0.03% | -0.15% | +0.27% | +0.29% | +0.47% | +0.71% | -0.27% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-02-15 | 09:29:57 | $27.67 | +0.40% | +0.61% | +0.65% | +0.49% | +0.72% | +0.89% | -0.04% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2024-02-09 | 09:25:44 | $27.85 | -0.61% | -0.57% | -0.72% | -0.90% | +0.18% | +0.18% | -0.99% | -0.50% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-06 | 09:25:03 | $28.34 | -0.14% | +0.25% | +0.09% | -0.25% | -0.67% | +0.37% | -1.16% | +0.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-01 | 00:00:00 | $29.48 | - | - | - | - | +0.10% | +1.09% | +0.85% | -0.10% | - |
| 2023-12-29 | 09:26:00 | $31.01 | -0.19% | -0.13% | +0.19% | +0.77% | -0.35% | +0.83% | -0.31% | -0.10% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ UBS Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 53.0% win rate, UBS has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making UBS profitable.
🔧 Fix UBS Risk/Reward →Why Analyze UBS with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UBS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, UBS historically offers an average upside of +1.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 UBS Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 53.0%, UBS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.72%) outweigh average wins (+0.56%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: UBS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.03%). This suggests UBS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.