Latest signal:
UGRO Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-12 → 2025-02-06
⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, UGRO alerts reach +5.62% profit potential within 122 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.78%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, UGRO typically reaches +5.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
How UGRO compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical UGRO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 | 09:28:52 | $0.99 | -14.95% | -12.11% | -11.12% | -22.21% | -20.02% | +13.13% | -4.04% | -3.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-30 | 09:25:00 | $1.28 | -4.30% | -6.25% | -3.91% | - | -11.72% | -3.12% | -4.69% | -4.69% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-26 | 09:27:00 | $1.34 | -0.03% | - | -2.24% | - | +4.48% | +6.72% | -2.99% | -1.49% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-13 | 09:26:00 | $1.39 | -1.80% | -5.32% | -5.76% | -5.76% | +1.44% | +3.60% | -9.35% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-07-10 | 09:28:00 | $1.86 | +7.84% | +5.38% | +3.67% | +3.18% | +6.99% | +12.90% | -1.61% | +2.15% | WIN |
| 2023-04-12 | 09:25:00 | $2.05 | -3.42% | -1.95% | -5.61% | -3.90% | -20.49% | +0.49% | - | -2.93% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ UGRO Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -6.55% average gain, UGRO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider UGRO for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze UGRO with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UGRO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, UGRO historically offers an average upside of +5.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 UGRO Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, UGRO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests UGRO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: UGRO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -6.55%). This suggests UGRO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.