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UHS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-11-22

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Universal Health Services, Inc. Class B SERVICES-GENERAL MEDICAL & SURGICAL HOSPITALS, NEC (SIC 8062)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 09, 1981 🔗 www.uhs.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.81B 👥 Employees: 99,000
Universal Health Services Inc owns and operates acute care hospitals, behavior health centers, surgical hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, and radiation oncology centers. The firm operates in two segments: Acute Care Hospital Services and Behavioral Health Services. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Acute Care Hospital Services segment. The Acute Care Hospital Services segment includes the firm's acute care hospitals, surgical hospitals, and surgery and oncology centers.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.03%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +0.38%
Worst: -0.69%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +1.06%
Worst: -0.40%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +0.55%
Worst: -0.72%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +0.90%
Worst: -1.55%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: +1.72%
Worst: -1.54%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.01%
Best MFE: +2.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, UHS alerts reach +1.01% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.67%
Worst MAE: -1.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.67%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.49:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, UHS typically reaches +1.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.36%
Best Gap +0.60%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-GENERAL MEDICAL & SURGICAL HOSPITALS, NEC

How UHS compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UHS: -0.26% Sector: +0.14% -0.40%
EOD Gain
UHS: +0.21% Sector: +0.30% -0.08%
Avg MFE
UHS: +1.01% Sector: +3.00% -1.99%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UHS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-22 09:26:03 $194.6 +0.38% +1.06% +0.55% +0.90% +1.72% +2.32% +0.20% +0.60% WIN
2024-10-31 09:25:46 $207.5 -0.47% -0.40% -0.72% -1.55% -1.54% -0.04% -1.11% -1.00% LOSS
2022-01-14 09:25:00 $133.05 -0.69% -0.04% +0.08% +0.18% +0.47% +0.74% -1.12% -0.69% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ UHS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, UHS has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making UHS profitable.

🔧 Fix UHS Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze UHS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UHS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UHS historically offers an average upside of +1.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UHS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, UHS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.72%) outweigh average wins (+0.32%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: UHS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.03%). This suggests UHS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.