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UL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 128 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

Unilever plc
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 12, 1961 🔗 www.unilever.com
💰 Market Cap: $146.78B 👥 Employees: 125,000
Unilever is a diversified beauty, wellbeing, and personal care (44% of 2024 sales by value), homecare (20%), and packaged food (36%) company. Its brands include Dove personal-care products, Knorr soups and sauces, Hellmann's mayonnaise, Axe and Rexona deodorants, and TRESemme haircare. The firm has been acquisitive in recent years; notable purchases include Paula's Choice, Liquid I.V., Horlicks, and Wild deodorants. The company derives 58% of its sales from emerging markets and 42% from developed markets. The US is its largest market, accounting for around 20% of sales, followed by India, which accounts for 11% of sales.
📊
128
Total Alerts
🎯
55.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.74%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.13%
Avg Loser: -0.14%
Best: +0.91%
Worst: -0.69%
Trades: 67/56

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.5%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.24%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +1.99%
Worst: -1.01%
Trades: 71/56

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +1.66%
Worst: -1.23%
Trades: 65/61

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +2.49%
Worst: -1.58%
Trades: 62/63

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +3.31%
Worst: -5.26%
Trades: 62/64

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.74%
Best MFE: +3.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 157 min

On average, UL alerts reach +0.74% profit potential within 157 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.24%
Worst MAE: -1.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 128 alerts, UL typically reaches +0.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 128
Gap Up % 45.3%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +0.51%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:29:45 $55.36 -0.16% -0.27% +0.41% +0.65% +1.08% +1.81% -0.42% -0.05% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:31 $58.08 -0.40% -0.26% -0.22% -0.12% +0.38% +0.67% -0.50% +0.03% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:14 $57.54 +0.17% +0.43% +0.17% +0.35% +1.03% +1.23% -0.10% +0.21% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:38 $56.61 -0.19% -0.19% -0.32% -0.72% -0.99% +0.09% -0.02% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:42 $56.81 -0.19% -0.01% -0.15% -0.05% +0.18% +0.50% -0.37% -0.04% LOSS
2024-12-18 09:27:44 $58.77 -0.07% -0.14% +0.02% +0.04% -1.60% +0.21% -0.27% -0.12% LOSS
2024-11-27 09:26:08 $59.64 +0.30% +0.34% +0.25% +0.17% +0.17% +0.63% +0.11% +0.17% WIN
2024-11-22 09:27:50 $58.2 +0.26% +0.67% +0.53% +0.80% +0.70% +1.15% -0.02% +0.12% WIN
2024-11-20 09:27:55 $57.46 +0.09% -0.06% -0.08% - +0.16% +0.30% -0.84% +0.07% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:27 $60.06 -0.37% -0.73% -0.95% -0.85% -1.32% +0.02% -0.30% -0.03% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:25:03 $63.24 - +0.11% -0.19% -0.21% -0.57% +0.14% -0.09% -0.09% -
2024-09-10 09:26:07 $65.55 -0.02% +0.08% -0.18% -0.32% -0.31% +0.08% -0.06% -0.05% LOSS
2024-08-14 09:27:38 $60.45 +0.10% +0.17% +0.33% +0.65% +0.68% +0.89% -0.05% +0.08% WIN
2024-07-26 09:27:37 $60.51 -0.06% -0.15% -0.37% -0.34% +0.36% +0.63% -0.50% -0.08% LOSS
2024-07-25 09:26:53 $60.08 +0.04% -0.08% +0.01% +0.06% -1.66% +0.30% -0.20% -0.02% WIN
2024-07-19 09:29:58 $58.26 -0.21% -0.33% -0.50% -0.33% -0.39% +0.51% -0.57% +0.02% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:29:48 $57.65 +0.28% +0.38% +0.59% +0.67% +0.95% +0.97% +0.07% +0.09% WIN
2024-05-03 09:29:15 $52.61 -0.25% -0.16% -0.19% -0.48% -0.91% +0.06% -0.33% -0.06% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:29:45 $50.66 -0.57% -0.41% -0.18% -0.22% +0.51% +0.91% -0.75% -0.18% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:29:00 $47.22 -0.16% -0.15% -0.32% -0.02% +0.19% +0.36% -0.36% +0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.5% Baseline on UL

The 55.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UL Strategy →

Why Analyze UL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UL historically offers an average upside of +0.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.5%, UL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UL performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.