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UMC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 115 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

United Microelectronic Corp.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 2000 🔗 www.umc.com
💰 Market Cap: $28.52B 👥 Employees: 19,016
Founded in 1980, United Microelectronics is the world's third-largest dedicated chip foundry, with 5% market share in 2024 after TSMC and SMIC. UMC's headquarters are in Hsinchu, Taiwan, and it operates 12 fabs in Taiwan, Mainland China, Japan and Singapore, with additional sales offices in Europe, the US, and South Korea. UMC features a diverse customer base that includes Texas Instruments, MediaTek, Intel, Broadcom, Novatek, and Realtek, supplying a wide range of products applied in communications, display, memory, automotive and more. UMC employs about 19,000 people as of February 2025.
📊
115
Total Alerts
🎯
55.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +2.24%
Worst: -4.67%
Trades: 59/54

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.7%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +2.97%
Worst: -4.16%
Trades: 64/49

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +4.13%
Worst: -4.77%
Trades: 58/55

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.8%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +4.74%
Worst: -4.02%
Trades: 63/49

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.72%
Avg Loser: -1.47%
Best: +6.37%
Worst: -5.33%
Trades: 56/53

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.53%
Best MFE: +7.93%
Avg Time to MFE: 133 min

On average, UMC alerts reach +1.53% profit potential within 133 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.61%
Worst MAE: -4.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.61%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 115 alerts, UMC typically reaches +1.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 115
Gap Up % 38.3%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +2.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UMC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:14 $6.26 -0.08% -0.16% -0.31% -0.48% - +0.32% -0.72% -0.32% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:42 $6.0 -0.58% +0.25% +0.08% +0.08% +0.50% +1.00% -0.75% -0.67% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:29:25 $6.08 -0.33% -0.25% -0.33% -0.25% -0.16% +0.16% -1.32% -0.82% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:01 $6.05 -0.50% -1.16% -0.74% -0.66% -0.17% -0.17% -0.83% -0.66% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:27:56 $6.0 +0.67% +0.67% +0.50% +0.58% +0.83% +1.50% - - WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:19 $6.04 +0.17% +0.16% +0.83% - -0.33% +0.99% -0.49% -0.17% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:35 $5.94 -0.42% -0.59% -0.25% +1.33% +1.35% +2.53% -0.93% -0.34% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:29:53 $5.85 -0.43% -0.43% +0.26% +0.34% -1.20% +1.20% -0.77% -0.51% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:27:15 $5.7 -0.44% -1.32% -0.79% -0.35% +0.88% +1.40% -1.58% +0.53% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:39 $5.84 -1.20% -1.28% -0.77% -1.20% -2.40% +0.68% +0.17% -0.34% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:29:35 $6.04 -0.08% +0.41% -0.08% -1.24% -5.30% +0.66% -0.99% - LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:00 $6.21 -4.67% -3.06% -3.62% -3.46% -2.90% +0.64% -2.82% - LOSS
2025-01-17 09:26:22 $6.25 -0.64% +0.23% - +0.08% +0.48% +0.64% -0.64% -0.32% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:26:08 $6.3 -0.56% +0.08% +0.40% +0.56% +0.79% +1.43% -0.79% +0.32% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:27:25 $6.51 -0.31% +0.08% -0.31% +0.08% -0.15% +1.54% -1.00% -0.46% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:28:06 $6.31 +0.71% +0.87% +0.95% +0.87% +0.48% +1.74% -0.16% +0.63% WIN
2024-12-13 09:27:45 $6.3 +0.71% +1.90% +1.59% +1.51% +1.43% +2.14% -0.63% +0.79% WIN
2024-12-06 09:29:29 $6.63 +0.53% +0.91% +1.51% +1.66% +1.36% +1.66% -0.08% +0.15% WIN
2024-11-29 09:28:09 $6.67 -0.30% -0.52% -0.07% +0.37% +1.20% +1.50% -0.67% -0.30% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:26:10 $6.86 +0.36% +0.80% +0.22% +0.36% +0.15% +1.02% +0.29% +1.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.7% Baseline on UMC

The 55.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UMC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UMC Strategy →

Why Analyze UMC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UMC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UMC historically offers an average upside of +1.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UMC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.7%, UMC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UMC performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.