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Latest signal:

UP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-15 → 2024-09-23

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 14, 2021 🔗 www.wheelsup.com
💰 Market Cap: $564.7M 👥 Employees: 1,866
Wheels Up Experience Inc is a provider of on-demand private aviation in the United States. It is pioneering data and technology-driven solutions that connect consumers to safety-vetted and verified private aircraft. It connects private flyers to aircraft, and one another, through an open platform that enables life's most important experiences. Its offering is delivered through a mix of programmatic and charter options that strategically utilize its owned and leased aircraft fleet and an "asset-light" charter model to deliver a greater range of global travel alternatives. The company operates in a single operating and reportable segment, private aviation services. Geographically the company generates the majority of its revenue from the United States.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
47.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+263.84%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 23.5%
Avg Gain: -2.12%
Avg Winner: +2.94%
Avg Loser: -4.35%
Best: +7.27%
Worst: -12.45%
Trades: 4/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 23.5%
Avg Gain: -2.18%
Avg Winner: +8.49%
Avg Loser: -5.92%
Best: +18.13%
Worst: -21.51%
Trades: 4/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -2.90%
Avg Winner: +5.80%
Avg Loser: -7.64%
Best: +13.19%
Worst: -26.10%
Trades: 6/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -3.40%
Avg Winner: +9.20%
Avg Loser: -8.66%
Best: +19.39%
Worst: -33.26%
Trades: 5/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +263.84%
Avg Winner: +578.81%
Avg Loser: -16.14%
Best: +987.96%
Worst: -41.13%
Trades: 8/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.84%
Best MFE: +24.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 58 min

On average, UP alerts reach +5.84% profit potential within 58 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.49%
Worst MAE: -12.34%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.3:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, UP typically reaches +5.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 17.6%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap +5.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR TRANSPORTATION, NONSCHEDULED

How UP compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UP: -2.12% Sector: -1.84% -0.28%
EOD Gain
UP: +263.84% Sector: +1546.18% -1282.34%
Avg MFE
UP: +5.84% Sector: +10.88% -5.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-23 09:29:32 $2.46 -4.47% -0.81% -2.24% -3.05% -17.07% +1.63% -7.32% -0.81% LOSS
2023-12-29 09:28:00 $3.94 -1.02% -3.55% -2.03% -6.98% -12.94% +0.76% -8.38% -1.02% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:27:00 $5.88 -6.21% -11.24% -15.99% -12.41% -31.63% +0.51% -0.34% -0.85% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:29:00 $1.34 +0.04% - +0.37% -3.73% -0.75% +0.75% -5.04% - WIN
2023-08-17 09:29:00 $1.69 -3.82% -7.71% -8.28% -10.65% -14.20% - - -1.18% LOSS
2023-08-16 09:27:00 $1.65 +7.27% +18.13% +10.91% +19.39% +5.45% +24.85% -4.85% -1.21% WIN
2023-08-10 09:27:00 $1.51 -3.97% -2.12% +2.65% +3.64% -13.24% +5.96% -7.28% - LOSS
2023-08-09 09:28:00 $2.65 -12.45% -21.51% -26.10% -33.26% -41.13% +0.75% -0.38% -0.75% LOSS
2023-07-21 09:27:00 $2.1 +0.48% -1.67% -5.24% -3.82% +10.00% +15.23% -5.26% - WIN
2023-07-20 09:29:00 $2.29 -4.87% -8.30% -7.42% -14.78% -6.11% +1.75% -3.93% -2.62% LOSS
2023-06-23 09:27:00 $1.23 -7.32% -4.88% -9.28% -6.10% -8.13% +0.77% -5.69% - LOSS
2023-06-05 09:29:00 $0.23 +3.96% +4.29% +3.48% +4.39% +6.57% +8.70% -2.17% +5.43% WIN
2023-05-12 09:25:00 $0.28 -1.11% -3.40% -2.47% -5.37% +911.09% +3.76% -12.34% -2.50% LOSS
2023-01-11 09:27:00 $1.41 -1.77% +3.88% +4.20% +8.16% +963.83% +11.35% -3.55% +0.71% LOSS
2022-10-12 09:25:00 $1.08 - -0.93% -0.92% -0.46% +853.70% +2.78% -4.17% -2.78% -
2022-10-03 09:25:00 $1.23 -0.81% -4.88% -4.07% -3.25% +891.87% +4.07% -2.44% +4.07% LOSS
2022-06-15 09:25:00 $2.16 - +7.64% +13.19% +10.42% +987.96% +15.74% -3.19% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 47.1% Baseline on UP

The 47.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UP Strategy →

Why Analyze UP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UP historically offers an average upside of +5.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.1%, UP shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UP performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +263.84%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.