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UPRO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 732 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jun 25, 2009
📊
732
Total Alerts
🎯
55.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.86%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.3%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -1.14%
Trades: 404/311

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +2.85%
Worst: -2.42%
Trades: 378/338

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +3.30%
Worst: -3.99%
Trades: 377/349

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +5.21%
Worst: -6.07%
Trades: 373/353

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.7%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -2.88%
Best: +15.13%
Worst: -50.55%
Trades: 393/339

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.86%
Best MFE: +16.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 194 min

On average, UPRO alerts reach +1.86% profit potential within 194 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.74%
Worst MAE: -8.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 39 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.74%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 732 alerts, UPRO typically reaches +1.86% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 732
Gap Up % 51.0%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +2.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UPRO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:54 $98.04 -0.16% +0.10% +0.18% +0.12% -0.23% +0.38% -0.21% -0.10% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:26:48 $95.5 +0.09% -0.28% +0.11% +0.63% +2.53% +2.64% -0.67% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-12 09:29:48 $93.02 +0.04% +0.68% +0.76% +1.15% +2.09% +2.68% -0.38% -0.06% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:06 $94.48 +0.29% +0.50% +0.50% +0.75% +1.45% +1.78% +0.04% +0.12% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:28 $95.3 +0.02% -0.56% -0.30% +0.32% +0.37% +0.74% -0.61% +0.03% WIN
2025-02-07 09:27:39 $96.69 +0.33% +0.47% +0.55% -0.71% -2.95% +0.68% -0.07% +0.08% WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:10 $96.49 -0.33% -0.36% -0.41% -0.57% +0.08% +0.15% -1.73% -0.09% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:26:40 $93.92 -0.16% +0.10% -0.47% -0.12% +1.77% +1.86% -1.03% +0.01% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:29:48 $92.62 +0.15% +0.24% +0.84% +1.28% +2.01% +2.28% -0.24% -0.01% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:43 $89.89 +0.72% +0.93% +0.27% +1.78% +3.03% +4.37% -0.75% +0.43% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:42 $97.33 -0.13% - +0.30% +0.78% -2.84% +1.18% -0.24% -0.03% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:25:59 $95.33 +0.51% +0.51% +1.35% +0.07% +0.91% +1.70% -1.21% +0.42% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:40 $95.75 -0.23% -0.66% -0.34% -0.56% -1.11% +0.08% -0.77% -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:02 $94.18 -0.34% -0.96% -0.94% +1.05% +1.94% +2.41% -1.62% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:23 $91.48 +1.38% +1.51% +1.85% +1.65% +2.39% +2.56% -0.13% -0.02% WIN
2025-01-23 09:29:39 $96.96 +0.03% +0.10% +0.08% -0.08% +1.87% +1.88% -0.21% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:02 $94.61 +2.48% +2.35% +2.80% +2.94% +2.72% +3.47% +2.28% +2.53% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:59 $94.49 +0.16% -0.04% -0.16% -0.07% +1.10% +1.28% -0.92% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-17 09:25:17 $92.7 +0.01% -0.18% +0.05% -0.13% +0.43% +1.34% -0.51% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-16 09:27:51 $91.62 -0.32% -0.52% -0.88% -1.00% -1.17% +0.15% -1.38% +0.07% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.3% Baseline on UPRO

The 55.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UPRO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UPRO Strategy →

Why Analyze UPRO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UPRO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UPRO historically offers an average upside of +1.86% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UPRO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.3%, UPRO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UPRO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.