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USEG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-22 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

U.S. Energy Corp. Common Stock (DE) CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 27, 1975 🔗 www.usnrg.com
💰 Market Cap: $35.8M 👥 Employees: 21
US Energy Corp is an independent energy company. It is focused on the acquisition and development of oil and natural gas-producing properties in the continental United States. It has business properties and operations in the Rockies region (Montana, Wyoming, and North Dakota), the Mid-Continent (Oklahoma, Kansas, and North and East Texas), and the West Texas, South Texas, and Gulf Coast regions. The company generates revenue from its interest in the sales of oil and natural gas production. The group operates in the exploration and production segment of the oil and gas industry, onshore in the United States.
📊
27
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.29%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+9.96%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +5.68%
Worst: -4.74%
Trades: 9/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +3.70%
Avg Loser: -3.47%
Best: +9.71%
Worst: -7.23%
Trades: 12/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.51%
Avg Winner: +6.76%
Avg Loser: -4.14%
Best: +15.40%
Worst: -11.22%
Trades: 9/18

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +7.98%
Avg Loser: -5.07%
Best: +32.24%
Worst: -12.07%
Trades: 9/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -2.44%
Avg Winner: +11.32%
Avg Loser: -6.37%
Best: +22.32%
Worst: -27.34%
Trades: 6/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.96%
Best MFE: +50.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 76 min

On average, USEG alerts reach +9.96% profit potential within 76 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.14%
Worst MAE: -11.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.17:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.17x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, USEG typically reaches +9.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.44%
Best Gap +2.63%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How USEG compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
USEG: -0.47% Sector: -0.16% -0.31%
EOD Gain
USEG: -2.44% Sector: +59.69% -62.14%
Avg MFE
USEG: +9.96% Sector: +2.88% +7.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical USEG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:37 $2.07 - -1.45% -0.16% +0.24% -1.93% +0.97% -0.48% +0.97% -
2025-02-10 09:29:06 $2.25 -0.89% -2.22% -3.56% -4.04% -4.44% -0.44% -1.78% -0.44% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:25:42 $2.32 +0.86% -1.72% -2.62% -2.61% -3.45% +2.80% - +1.72% WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:54 $2.37 +2.54% +0.21% +3.80% +1.90% -0.84% +5.49% -1.69% +0.84% WIN
2025-02-03 09:27:28 $2.36 -3.36% +4.26% +14.37% +32.24% +10.59% +50.85% -3.81% -0.42% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:58 $2.27 -1.76% -3.52% -1.76% -1.32% -1.32% +4.41% -3.52% +0.44% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:25:22 $2.38 -2.10% -4.17% -3.15% -1.15% -7.98% - -5.04% -0.42% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:40 $2.41 -0.45% +4.94% +4.11% +0.21% -3.32% +7.59% -3.32% -3.32% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:51 $2.34 -1.50% -7.23% -7.48% -6.41% -1.71% +5.98% -8.97% - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:01 $2.52 -4.74% -5.92% -4.37% -5.96% -9.13% - -3.17% -0.79% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:16 $2.96 -0.36% -2.33% -6.75% -5.07% -7.77% +4.39% -0.68% - LOSS
2025-01-23 09:26:11 $3.04 +0.01% -5.43% -5.43% -9.87% -0.66% +2.63% +0.04% +2.63% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:03 $3.52 +5.68% -3.55% -11.22% -12.07% -9.94% +10.51% -1.70% +1.14% WIN
2023-04-05 09:28:00 $1.63 -0.61% -6.13% -6.75% -7.67% -7.36% -0.61% -0.61% -1.84% LOSS
2023-04-04 09:28:00 $1.85 -2.70% -2.70% -2.70% -3.24% -10.27% +0.54% -1.08% +0.54% LOSS
2023-04-03 09:25:00 $2.12 +0.47% +9.37% +14.63% +12.85% -17.45% +26.89% -3.30% -0.94% WIN
2022-09-06 09:25:00 $3.75 +1.06% +1.86% +0.80% -1.33% -1.87% +5.06% -2.53% -0.53% WIN
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $4.45 -0.09% +0.33% -0.45% -2.25% -0.22% +2.25% -5.84% -2.47% LOSS
2022-03-22 09:25:00 $6.1 -1.97% -0.98% -2.13% -5.74% -6.07% +0.66% -0.49% -0.66% LOSS
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $6.11 +0.09% -0.16% +0.98% +0.33% +7.20% +7.36% -3.11% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ USEG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -0.29% average gain, USEG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider USEG for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze USEG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for USEG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, USEG historically offers an average upside of +9.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 USEG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, USEG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests USEG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: USEG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.29%). This suggests USEG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.