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Latest signal:

USFR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 60 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-24 → 2025-01-30

⚠️ Small sample size (60 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury Fund
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Feb 04, 2014
📊
60
Total Alerts
🎯
50.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.02%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.05%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 27/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.04%
Worst: -0.02%
Trades: 29/22

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.02%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.04%
Worst: -0.04%
Trades: 30/19

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.02%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.04%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 25/21

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -0.02%
Best: +0.06%
Worst: -0.04%
Trades: 26/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.02%
Best MFE: +0.06%
Avg Time to MFE: 68 min

On average, USFR alerts reach +0.02% profit potential within 68 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.01%
Worst MAE: -0.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.91:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.91x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 60 alerts, USFR typically reaches +0.02% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 60
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical USFR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-30 09:29:56 $50.34 +0.00% +0.02% +0.02% +0.01% - +0.02% - - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:16 $50.49 +0.00% +0.02% - - - +0.02% - - LOSS
2025-01-10 09:27:43 $50.38 +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% +0.02% +0.04% +0.04% - - LOSS
2024-12-20 09:26:51 $50.45 -0.01% - -0.01% -0.01% - - -0.02% -0.02% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:29:50 $50.28 -0.02% -0.01% -0.00% -0.00% - - -0.02% - LOSS
2024-11-20 09:28:55 $50.41 +0.02% +0.01% +0.02% +0.01% +0.02% +0.02% +0.02% - WIN
2024-08-07 09:27:06 $50.31 +0.02% +0.02% +0.02% - +0.04% +0.06% - - WIN
2024-04-30 09:29:34 $50.33 +0.01% +0.02% +0.00% - +0.02% +0.04% - +0.02% WIN
2024-04-25 09:27:33 $50.3 +0.02% +0.01% +0.02% - +0.02% +0.02% - +0.02% WIN
2024-04-18 09:28:56 $50.48 -0.01% -0.02% -0.00% -0.00% -0.02% - -0.02% -0.02% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:27:08 $50.4 - - +0.02% +0.02% +0.04% +0.04% - - -
2024-03-27 09:26:05 $50.27 - +0.02% +0.02% - +0.02% +0.04% - +0.02% -
2024-03-25 09:29:46 $50.25 +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.02% -0.02% -0.02% WIN
2024-03-22 09:28:20 $50.24 -0.01% - - - - - -0.02% - LOSS
2024-03-21 09:25:11 $50.45 +0.02% - - +0.02% +0.02% +0.02% - +0.02% WIN
2024-03-20 09:28:18 $50.44 -0.00% -0.02% -0.00% - -0.02% - -0.02% - LOSS
2024-03-19 09:28:24 $50.43 +0.02% +0.01% +0.02% +0.02% +0.02% +0.02% - - WIN
2024-03-14 09:25:12 $50.4 - - - +0.01% - +0.02% - - -
2024-03-01 09:28:34 $50.31 -0.00% -0.02% -0.01% -0.00% - - -0.02% - LOSS
2024-02-27 09:27:34 $50.28 +0.01% +0.00% +0.02% +0.01% - +0.02% - - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.8% Baseline on USFR

The 50.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push USFR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize USFR Strategy →

Why Analyze USFR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for USFR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, USFR historically offers an average upside of +0.02% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 USFR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.8%, USFR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show USFR performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.