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UTZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-22 → 2024-11-08

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 26, 2018 🔗 www.utzsnacks.com
💰 Market Cap: $911.9M 👥 Employees: 3,200
Utz Brands Inc is a manufacturer of branded salty snacks. It produces a broad offering of salty snacks, including potato chips, tortilla chips, pretzels, cheese snacks, pork skins, pub/party mixes, and other snacks. Its iconic portfolio of authentic, craft, and better-for-you (BFY) brands, which includes Utz, Zapp's, On The Border, Golden Flake, and Boulder Canyon, among others, enjoys household penetration in the United States, where its products can be found in approximately half of U.S. household. The company operates in eight manufacturing facilities with a broad range of capabilities, and its products are distributed nationally to grocery, mass, club, convenience, drug, e-commerce and other retailers through direct shipments, distributors, and approximately 2,500 DSD routes.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+1.01%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.79%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -0.09%
Best: +2.58%
Worst: -0.09%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.50%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +2.75%
Worst: -1.51%
Trades: 3/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.61%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +3.41%
Worst: -0.54%
Trades: 3/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +1.01%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +3.50%
Worst: -0.25%
Trades: 4/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +1.12%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +2.83%
Worst: -0.42%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.52%
Best MFE: +5.87%
Avg Time to MFE: 213 min

On average, UTZ alerts reach +2.52% profit potential within 213 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.62%
Worst MAE: -1.85%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.09:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.09x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, UTZ typically reaches +2.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 80.0%
Avg Gap +0.55%
Best Gap +1.25%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PREPARATIONS & KINDRED PRODUCTS

How UTZ compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UTZ: +0.79% Sector: +0.70% +0.09%
EOD Gain
UTZ: +0.69% Sector: +0.13% +0.55%
Avg MFE
UTZ: +2.42% Sector: +5.74% -3.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UTZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-08 09:27:03 $16.95 - +1.36% +0.21% +1.30% +2.83% +2.92% +0.21% +0.29% -
2024-07-25 09:26:03 $14.58 +0.17% +0.17% +0.21% +0.07% +0.75% +1.16% -1.71% +0.41% WIN
2023-11-13 09:27:00 $12.01 +2.58% +2.75% +3.41% +3.50% +2.66% +5.87% +1.00% +1.25% WIN
2023-10-16 09:27:00 $11.92 +0.50% -1.51% -0.25% -0.25% -0.25% +1.68% -1.85% +0.84% WIN
2023-03-22 09:25:00 $16.62 -0.09% -0.27% -0.54% +0.42% -0.42% +0.96% -0.72% -0.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on UTZ

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UTZ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UTZ Strategy →

Why Analyze UTZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UTZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UTZ historically offers an average upside of +2.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UTZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, UTZ shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UTZ performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.