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UUU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-25 → 2023-06-02

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jan 22, 1973 🔗 www.universalsecurity.com
💰 Market Cap: $11.9M 👥 Employees: 11
Universal Safety Products Inc is a U.S.-based importer and distributor of home safety devices such as ventilation fans and ground fault circuit interrupters.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-3.13%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+23.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +2.77%
Avg Winner: +10.34%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: +16.30%
Worst: -2.98%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +3.21%
Avg Winner: +16.33%
Avg Loser: -5.54%
Best: +27.18%
Worst: -9.22%
Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.11%
Avg Winner: +13.32%
Avg Loser: -10.73%
Best: +16.19%
Worst: -19.41%
Trades: 2/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +20.90%
Avg Loser: -14.82%
Best: +32.29%
Worst: -32.16%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -3.13%
Avg Winner: +5.64%
Avg Loser: -16.28%
Best: +9.89%
Worst: -31.57%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +23.10%
Best MFE: +47.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 56 min

On average, UUU alerts reach +23.10% profit potential within 56 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.81%
Worst MAE: -4.70%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.81%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, UUU typically reaches +23.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 18.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -1.07%
Best Gap +1.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-ELECTRONIC PARTS & EQUIPMENT, NEC

How UUU compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UUU: +2.77% Sector: +0.81% +1.96%
EOD Gain
UUU: -3.13% Sector: -0.55% -2.57%
Avg MFE
UUU: +23.10% Sector: +6.13% +16.97%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UUU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-02 09:28:00 $2.73 +16.30% +5.47% +10.44% +9.52% +9.89% +21.98% -1.10% +1.83% WIN
2023-02-17 09:26:00 $2.47 -1.21% +27.18% +16.19% +32.29% +0.40% +47.37% -4.05% -4.05% LOSS
2022-04-12 09:25:00 $5.1 -2.98% -9.22% -19.41% -32.16% -31.57% +3.73% -1.96% -1.96% LOSS
2022-02-28 09:25:00 $3.62 -2.62% -3.73% -3.04% -0.55% +6.63% +32.60% -4.70% -1.66% LOSS
2022-02-25 09:25:00 $4.0 +4.38% -3.67% -9.75% -11.75% -1.00% +9.81% -2.25% +0.50% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ UUU Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, UUU has -3.13% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making UUU profitable.

🔧 Fix UUU Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze UUU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UUU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UUU historically offers an average upside of +23.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UUU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, UUU shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-16.28%) outweigh average wins (+5.64%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: UUU shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -3.13%). This suggests UUU is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.