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UWMC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-24 → 2023-10-05

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 22, 2021 🔗 www.uwm.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.55B 👥 Employees: 9,100
UWM Holdings Corp engages in the origination, sale, and servicing of residential mortgage loans in the wholesale channel. The company provides independent mortgage advisors across the states and the district of Columbia.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
85.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+4.86%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.57%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -1.09%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -3.79%
Best: +1.66%
Worst: -9.89%
Trades: 4/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.72%
Avg Loser: -2.86%
Best: +2.86%
Worst: -6.53%
Trades: 4/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +2.50%
Avg Loser: -4.29%
Best: +4.60%
Worst: -5.17%
Trades: 5/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1.57%
Avg Winner: +3.58%
Avg Loser: -3.45%
Best: +7.45%
Worst: -5.21%
Trades: 5/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 85.7%
Avg Gain: +4.86%
Avg Winner: +7.88%
Avg Loser: -13.25%
Best: +11.75%
Worst: -13.25%
Trades: 6/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.57%
Best MFE: +12.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 273 min

On average, UWMC alerts reach +7.57% profit potential within 273 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.41%
Worst MAE: -6.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, UWMC typically reaches +7.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -0.43%
Best Gap +0.96%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MORTGAGE BANKERS & LOAN CORRESPONDENTS

How UWMC compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UWMC: -1.09% Sector: -0.15% -0.95%
EOD Gain
UWMC: +4.86% Sector: +23.70% -18.85%
Avg MFE
UWMC: +7.57% Sector: +5.15% +2.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UWMC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-10-05 09:29:00 $4.81 +1.66% +0.83% +2.18% +2.29% +4.78% +5.20% -0.62% -0.62% WIN
2023-05-10 09:29:00 $5.51 -9.89% -6.53% -5.17% -5.21% -13.25% +0.73% -6.72% +0.73% LOSS
2022-11-04 09:25:00 $3.32 -1.20% +2.86% +2.41% +1.51% +11.75% +12.20% -1.51% -0.90% LOSS
2022-05-19 09:25:00 $3.82 -0.26% -0.79% +0.26% +1.83% +2.62% +3.14% -3.40% -3.40% LOSS
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $4.16 +0.36% +0.36% +4.60% +7.45% +7.93% +11.30% - +0.24% WIN
2022-03-01 09:25:00 $4.16 +1.44% -1.25% -3.42% -1.68% +11.06% +11.30% -4.09% +0.96% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $3.95 +0.25% +2.82% +3.04% +4.81% +9.11% +9.11% -0.51% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 85.7% Baseline on UWMC

The 85.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UWMC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UWMC Strategy →

Why Analyze UWMC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UWMC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UWMC historically offers an average upside of +7.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UWMC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 85.7%, UWMC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UWMC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.86%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.