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VECO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2024-05-01

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 20, 1994 🔗 www.veeco.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.95B 👥 Employees: 1,231
Veeco Instruments Inc is a United States-based company engaged in designing, developing, and manufacturing thin-film process equipment, mainly used for producing electronic devices. The company focuses on semiconductor process equipment that addresses a range of challenging materials engineering problems for its customers. Its products include Laser Processing Systems, Lithography Systems, Ion Beam Systems, SiC CVD Systems, MOCVD Systems, Wet Processing Systems, MBE Technologies, Atomic Layer Deposition Systems, Physical Vapor Deposition Systems, Dicing and Lapping Systems, as well as Gas & Vapor Delivery Systems. The majority of the company's revenue is generated from sales to the Semiconductor Industry and within China.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-1.70%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.87%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.87%
Best: -0.72%
Worst: -3.18%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.03%
Best: -1.11%
Worst: -3.18%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.70%
Avg Winner: +0.09%
Avg Loser: -2.60%
Best: +0.09%
Worst: -4.12%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.42%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: -0.03%
Worst: -2.46%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.41%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: -1.03%
Worst: -4.08%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.80%
Best MFE: +1.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 200 min

On average, VECO alerts reach +0.80% profit potential within 200 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.49%
Worst MAE: -4.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 57 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.23:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, VECO typically reaches +0.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.80%
Best Gap -0.72%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC

How VECO compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VECO: -1.87% Sector: +0.17% -2.04%
EOD Gain
VECO: -2.41% Sector: -21.65% +19.24%
Avg MFE
VECO: +0.80% Sector: +3.15% -2.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VECO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-01 09:29:29 $35.34 -1.73% -1.81% -1.09% -1.75% -2.12% +1.15% -3.45% -1.19% LOSS
2023-05-17 09:28:00 $22.35 -3.18% -3.18% -4.12% -2.46% -1.03% -0.18% -4.92% -3.49% LOSS
2022-01-18 09:25:00 $31.89 -0.72% -1.11% +0.09% -0.03% -4.08% +1.42% -2.10% -0.72% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ VECO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -1.70% average gain, VECO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VECO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze VECO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VECO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VECO historically offers an average upside of +0.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VECO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, VECO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VECO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VECO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.70%). This suggests VECO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.