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VET Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 60 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2023-08-09

⚠️ Small sample size (60 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

VERMILION ENERGY INC.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 08, 2009 🔗 www.vermilionenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.45B 👥 Employees: 743
Vermilion Energy Inc is an international oil and gas-producing company. The company engages in full-cycle exploration and production programs that focus on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. The majority of Vermilion's revenue is derived from the production and sale of petroleum and natural gas. In each market, the company relies on a host of drilling and well-completion techniques to keep production at attractive levels. Geographically, the company derives majority of its revenue from Canada.
📊
60
Total Alerts
🎯
56.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.14%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.97%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 28/30

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +4.36%
Worst: -9.72%
Trades: 33/27

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.7%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.72%
Avg Loser: -1.93%
Best: +6.24%
Worst: -9.31%
Trades: 34/26

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +2.12%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +7.93%
Worst: -10.07%
Trades: 31/29

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.7%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -2.90%
Best: +8.13%
Worst: -9.57%
Trades: 34/26

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.97%
Best MFE: +8.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 127 min

On average, VET alerts reach +2.97% profit potential within 127 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.23%
Worst MAE: -5.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 25 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.23%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.42:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.42x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 60 alerts, VET typically reaches +2.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 60
Gap Up % 38.3%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +1.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VET alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-09 09:26:00 $14.78 +0.61% +2.84% +2.50% +3.65% +1.49% +4.53% -0.54% -0.27% WIN
2023-06-15 09:29:00 $11.98 +1.25% +2.59% +3.09% +2.75% +2.75% +5.43% -0.58% -0.08% WIN
2023-05-30 09:27:00 $11.3 +1.50% +0.35% -0.46% -2.48% -1.86% +1.86% +0.27% +1.42% WIN
2023-04-03 09:27:00 $13.73 -0.51% -0.52% -0.29% -0.36% -1.09% +0.87% -1.17% -0.15% LOSS
2023-03-15 09:25:00 $12.93 -1.62% -2.47% -3.67% -3.40% -3.40% +0.31% -1.70% -0.54% LOSS
2023-03-09 09:27:00 $14.05 +0.64% -0.57% +0.64% -1.42% -4.84% +2.42% -1.57% -0.57% WIN
2023-01-24 09:25:00 $16.04 -0.62% -1.87% -1.81% -2.24% -3.93% +1.06% +0.06% +0.69% LOSS
2023-01-19 09:29:00 $15.14 +0.59% +0.50% +0.40% +0.63% +2.51% +3.57% -0.96% -0.59% WIN
2023-01-06 09:28:00 $15.15 +0.23% +2.51% +1.39% +0.79% -0.53% +3.27% -0.53% -0.26% WIN
2023-01-04 09:26:00 $14.97 -1.13% +1.54% +1.17% +1.67% +0.87% +3.01% -2.20% +0.13% LOSS
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $17.88 +0.45% +0.17% -0.34% -1.17% -0.67% +1.06% - +0.34% WIN
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $18.66 -0.32% -0.13% +0.83% +0.38% +0.96% +2.36% -1.29% +0.80% LOSS
2022-11-23 09:25:00 $18.86 +1.22% +1.70% +1.27% +1.91% +1.86% +2.49% -0.32% +0.21% WIN
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $20.38 -0.74% -2.60% -1.74% -0.12% +1.91% +2.94% -2.80% -0.05% LOSS
2022-11-11 09:25:00 $20.86 +1.15% +1.01% +1.39% +1.92% +2.16% +3.07% -0.53% - WIN
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $22.24 -2.29% -9.72% -9.31% -10.07% -8.05% +0.31% -0.54% +0.27% LOSS
2022-11-01 09:25:00 $23.9 -0.50% +0.21% -0.54% -0.59% -0.29% +0.75% -2.59% -2.05% LOSS
2022-10-11 09:25:00 $20.96 +0.29% +1.86% +0.35% -1.79% -0.48% +2.52% -2.84% -0.38% WIN
2022-09-27 09:25:00 $19.14 -1.46% -0.68% -0.84% +0.57% +6.17% +6.50% -2.40% -1.15% LOSS
2022-09-23 09:25:00 $20.35 -0.74% -2.63% -3.19% -1.82% -3.54% +1.38% - +0.44% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.7% Baseline on VET

The 56.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VET's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VET Strategy →

Why Analyze VET with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VET. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VET historically offers an average upside of +2.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VET Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.7%, VET shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VET performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.