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VFC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-10 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 25, 1966 🔗 www.vfc.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.71B 👥 Employees: 27,000
VF designs, produces, and distributes branded apparel, footwear, and accessories. Its apparel categories are active, outdoor, and work. Its portfolio of 10 brands includes Vans, The North Face, Timberland, and Altra. VF markets its products in the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific through wholesale sales to retailers, e-commerce, and branded stores owned by the company and partners. Tracing its roots to 1899, the company has evolved through many brand acquisitions and dispositions.
📊
29
Total Alerts
🎯
62.1%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.56%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.96%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +4.68%
Worst: -2.81%
Trades: 10/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -1.32%
Best: +3.97%
Worst: -4.02%
Trades: 16/13

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.1%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +1.99%
Avg Loser: -1.77%
Best: +6.46%
Worst: -3.60%
Trades: 18/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +2.22%
Avg Loser: -2.14%
Best: +7.32%
Worst: -3.72%
Trades: 15/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +3.54%
Avg Loser: -2.87%
Best: +7.11%
Worst: -7.89%
Trades: 10/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.96%
Best MFE: +8.74%
Avg Time to MFE: 97 min

On average, VFC alerts reach +2.96% profit potential within 97 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.38%
Worst MAE: -3.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, VFC typically reaches +2.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 37.9%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +2.21%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MEN'S & BOYS' FURNISHGS, WORK CLOTHG, & ALLIED GARMENTS

How VFC compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VFC: -0.09% Sector: -0.07% -0.01%
EOD Gain
VFC: -0.66% Sector: -4.76% +4.10%
Avg MFE
VFC: +2.96% Sector: +2.28% +0.68%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VFC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:25:02 $25.37 -1.34% -1.58% -2.13% -2.13% -2.96% +0.24% -3.39% -0.51% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:26:37 $27.75 +2.45% +2.58% +2.86% +0.25% -7.89% +4.58% -0.90% -0.04% WIN
2024-10-29 09:28:20 $20.49 -0.44% +3.76% +6.46% +4.78% +5.56% +7.03% -3.86% -0.90% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:28:52 $17.91 +0.70% +2.18% +0.73% +2.32% +1.51% +3.07% -2.57% -0.34% WIN
2024-08-07 09:27:50 $18.0 +2.22% +3.97% +2.28% +2.86% -2.22% +4.78% -1.78% - WIN
2024-07-18 09:29:52 $16.55 +0.79% -0.09% +1.93% -0.33% -3.14% +2.05% -0.45% -0.18% WIN
2024-07-17 09:25:33 $15.13 -1.65% -0.83% +0.89% +1.19% +6.74% +8.46% -2.38% - LOSS
2024-07-09 09:29:56 $13.41 -1.12% -1.94% -1.91% -2.87% -3.21% +0.04% -0.52% -0.22% LOSS
2024-05-31 09:25:39 $13.3 -1.35% +1.80% +1.70% +1.47% -0.15% +4.74% -3.53% -1.50% LOSS
2024-05-23 09:29:56 $11.44 -2.45% -0.13% -0.61% +0.83% +4.63% +6.56% -3.85% +0.35% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:27:46 $12.96 -1.54% -1.97% -2.20% -3.49% -6.56% -0.69% -0.69% -1.47% LOSS
2024-02-13 09:25:47 $16.66 - -1.23% -3.60% -3.72% -1.32% +0.72% -2.88% -0.60% -
2024-02-07 09:26:36 $15.16 -1.02% +1.85% +0.96% -2.34% +0.99% +3.83% -2.04% +0.86% LOSS
2024-02-05 09:28:36 $16.67 -0.99% -1.92% -1.92% -2.61% -0.84% +0.72% -0.42% +0.54% LOSS
2023-12-18 09:28:00 $18.92 -2.64% -4.02% -3.53% -3.62% -2.96% - -0.90% -0.11% LOSS
2023-11-15 09:26:00 $16.59 +3.04% +3.53% +5.70% +7.32% +7.11% +8.74% -0.54% +0.36% WIN
2023-10-31 09:29:00 $15.82 +4.68% +0.06% +0.32% -1.77% -6.89% +5.88% -0.70% +1.77% WIN
2023-08-02 09:27:00 $18.85 -0.77% -1.06% +2.73% +3.95% +1.06% +4.99% -1.72% -0.11% LOSS
2023-04-14 09:27:00 $23.31 -0.82% -1.07% -1.18% -2.44% -3.56% +2.10% +0.39% +1.16% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:27:00 $20.84 +2.54% +1.61% +1.32% +1.80% -0.48% +3.12% +2.21% +2.21% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.1% Baseline on VFC

The 62.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VFC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VFC Strategy →

Why Analyze VFC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VFC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VFC historically offers an average upside of +2.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VFC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.1%, VFC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VFC performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.