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VFS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 88 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-08-15 → 2024-12-05

⚠️ Small sample size (88 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

VinFast Auto Ltd. Ordinary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 15, 2023 🔗 www.vinfastauto.us
💰 Market Cap: $7.84B 👥 Employees: 17,823
VinFast Auto Ltd manufactures cars, and motor vehicles, renders leasing activities, trades smartphones, and related businesses. The company is engaged in designing and manufacturing premium EVs, e-scooters, and e-buses. The company's initial EV product line is an all-new range of fully electric A- through E-segment SUVs. The Company has three reportable segments, namely Car, E-scooter and Ebus. The Car segment includes the design, development, manufacturing and sales of cars and related battery lease and battery charging services for cars. The E-scooter segment includes the design, development, manufacturing and sales of e-scooters and related battery lease and battery charging service for e-scooters. The Ebus segment includes the design, development, manufacturing and sales of Ebus.
📊
88
Total Alerts
🎯
46.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.10%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+8.05%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.0%
Avg Gain: -0.75%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -2.40%
Best: +16.20%
Worst: -13.64%
Trades: 29/58

15MIN

Win Rate: 31.8%
Avg Gain: -1.24%
Avg Winner: +3.73%
Avg Loser: -3.62%
Best: +36.32%
Worst: -19.28%
Trades: 28/59

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +4.55%
Avg Loser: -3.61%
Best: +35.14%
Worst: -15.83%
Trades: 32/56

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.8%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +5.77%
Avg Loser: -3.76%
Best: +39.50%
Worst: -16.48%
Trades: 28/60

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +8.45%
Avg Loser: -7.18%
Best: +93.16%
Worst: -37.82%
Trades: 41/47

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.05%
Best MFE: +147.13%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, VFS alerts reach +8.05% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.73%
Worst MAE: -26.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.73%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 88 alerts, VFS typically reaches +8.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 88
Gap Up % 29.5%
Avg Gap -0.34%
Best Gap +1.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VFS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-05 09:26:17 $5.18 +1.54% -2.22% -2.61% -1.16% -7.34% +3.28% -2.12% -2.12% WIN
2024-10-30 09:27:47 $4.05 -0.99% +0.99% -0.86% -1.23% -2.22% +1.23% -2.22% -2.22% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:57 $3.58 -0.66% +2.86% +3.35% +3.07% +2.51% +5.59% -1.40% -1.12% LOSS
2024-05-21 09:26:59 $5.81 +2.67% -7.40% +0.87% -3.44% -11.53% +2.93% -3.61% -3.61% WIN
2024-05-15 09:26:38 $4.16 +2.16% -0.72% -3.25% -0.48% +1.92% +3.12% - +1.20% WIN
2024-05-14 09:27:18 $4.69 +3.41% -6.18% -8.53% -10.45% -12.37% +6.40% -1.02% -0.85% WIN
2024-05-07 09:28:35 $3.17 -1.58% -1.58% -2.68% -2.16% -5.05% +0.32% -1.49% -0.95% LOSS
2024-05-03 09:25:07 $2.99 -2.01% -5.35% -3.85% -4.68% -3.34% -0.33% -1.34% -1.67% LOSS
2024-05-02 09:25:57 $2.74 -0.73% -1.09% -0.18% -1.28% +4.01% +7.66% -2.55% +0.73% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:28:33 $2.68 -0.75% -0.56% -1.53% -2.61% -4.48% +0.74% -0.02% - LOSS
2024-04-29 09:25:15 $2.73 -1.65% +0.55% +1.09% -1.10% +0.37% +3.48% -1.83% -0.37% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:28:37 $2.51 -2.48% +0.88% -0.40% -0.80% +7.17% +7.17% -2.79% -1.59% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:29:44 $2.62 -3.05% -4.58% -3.05% -2.67% -4.58% +0.38% -4.58% -1.15% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:26:39 $2.67 -3.00% -3.74% -1.50% -5.25% -5.62% - - -2.62% LOSS
2024-04-18 09:27:38 $2.73 -2.56% -4.58% -2.11% +1.10% -0.73% +2.56% -6.23% -0.73% LOSS
2024-04-17 09:28:06 $3.06 -8.25% -5.83% -7.03% -9.31% -11.11% +1.63% - -0.65% LOSS
2024-02-29 09:26:39 $5.87 +1.87% +1.54% +5.03% +4.80% +1.70% +5.28% -1.19% - WIN
2024-02-22 09:29:01 $5.18 -3.28% -1.25% -0.97% +2.51% -1.93% +2.90% -4.83% -0.39% LOSS
2024-02-06 09:26:00 $5.28 -0.47% +0.32% +0.95% +0.20% +2.08% +2.08% -0.76% -0.57% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:25:00 $8.46 - +0.47% +0.35% -0.06% +2.13% +3.78% -0.71% -0.59% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 46.6% Baseline on VFS

The 46.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VFS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VFS Strategy →

Why Analyze VFS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VFS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VFS historically offers an average upside of +8.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VFS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.6%, VFS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VFS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.