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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$VGSH

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.6% at EOD n=83 2022-01-10 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 83 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 19, 2009
Total alerts
83
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
50.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.07%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading VGSH on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.02%
Avg Loser: -0.02%
Best: +0.07%
Worst: -0.09%
Trades: 34/34

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.02%
Avg Loser: -0.03%
Best: +0.10%
Worst: -0.14%
Trades: 40/40

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.4%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -0.03%
Best: +0.07%
Worst: -0.21%
Trades: 36/43

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.04%
Avg Loser: -0.04%
Best: +0.16%
Worst: -0.19%
Trades: 37/43

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: -0.09%
Best: +0.31%
Worst: -0.30%
Trades: 42/35

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.07%
Best MFE: +0.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, VGSH alerts reach +0.07% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.03%
Worst MAE: -0.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.03%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.7:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.7x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 83 alerts, VGSH typically reaches +0.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 83
Gap Up % 37.3%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VGSH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $57.53 +0.02% +0.02% -0.01% -0.02% -0.13% +0.03% -0.01% -0.01% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $57.56 +0.01% +0.00% -0.01% -0.02% -0.13% +0.01% -0.01% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $57.72 +0.02% +0.03% +0.01% +0.01% -0.05% +0.03% +0.00% +0.02% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $57.79 -0.01% -0.03% -0.02% -0.03% -0.10% +0.00% -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $58.16 +0.00% +0.03% +0.03% +0.01% -0.05% +0.03% +0.00% +0.02% LOSS
2026-07-13 09:25:00 $58.03 +0.00% +0.00% -0.02% -0.02% -0.09% +0.02% +0.00% +0.02% LOSS
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $58.33 -0.02% +0.00% -0.01% +0.01% +0.03% +0.03% -0.02% +0.00% LOSS
2026-05-05 09:25:00 $58.26 +0.02% +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% +0.02% +0.03% -0.01% -0.01% WIN
2026-04-30 09:25:00 $58.46 +0.01% +0.01% -0.00% +0.01% +0.02% +0.05% -0.02% -0.00% WIN
2026-03-24 09:25:00 $58.38 -0.01% +0.01% -0.00% +0.02% -0.01% +0.08% -0.02% +0.01% LOSS
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $58.4 -0.01% +0.02% +0.04% +0.10% +0.09% +0.16% -0.03% -0.01% LOSS
2026-03-19 09:25:00 $58.42 +0.02% +0.02% +0.05% +0.05% +0.12% +0.17% -0.03% +0.00% WIN
2026-02-10 09:25:00 $58.8 -0.00% +0.01% +0.01% +0.00% +0.02% +0.03% -0.02% -0.01% LOSS
2026-02-05 09:25:00 $58.72 +0.00% -0.01% -0.01% +0.04% +0.09% +0.09% -0.02% +0.02% LOSS
2026-01-29 09:25:00 $58.8 -0.01% -0.02% +0.02% +0.02% +0.03% +0.05% -0.02% -0.02% LOSS
2026-01-13 09:25:00 $58.74 +0.03% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.03% +0.03% +0.02% +0.02% WIN
2024-05-31 09:29:30 $57.82 +0.03% +0.03% +0.06% +0.08% +0.09% +0.10% +0.00% +0.02% WIN
2023-12-22 09:28:00 $58.25 -0.01% -0.01% +0.00% -0.03% -0.02% +0.02% +0.00% +0.02% LOSS
2023-11-28 09:25:00 $57.87 -0.01% -0.01% +0.00% +0.03% +0.17% +0.19% -0.02% -0.02% LOSS
2023-11-15 09:27:00 $57.75 +0.00% -0.01% -0.03% -0.04% -0.07% +0.02% +0.00% +0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ VGSH Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 50.6% win rate, VGSH has +0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making VGSH profitable.

🔧 Fix VGSH Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze VGSH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VGSH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VGSH historically offers an average upside of +0.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VGSH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.6%, VGSH shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VGSH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at +0.00%). This suggests VGSH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.