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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$VITL

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.0% at 5-min n=6 2024-11-07 → 2026-05-11

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 6 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Vital Farms, Inc. Common Stock FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS (SIC 2000)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 2020 🔗 www.vitalfarms.com
💰 Market Cap: $389.0M 👥 Employees: 739
Vital Farms Inc is an ethical food company. The company retails pasture-raised eggs and butter. Its products include Pasture-Raised Eggs and Pasture-Raised Butter & Ghee. The company's purpose is rooted in a commitment to Conscious Capitalism, which prioritizes the long-term benefits of its stakeholders (farmers and suppliers, customers and consumers, communities and the environment, employees, and stockholders).
Total alerts
6
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-1.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.70%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading VITL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.01%
Avg Winner: +2.39%
Avg Loser: -4.41%
Best: +3.22%
Worst: -9.18%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -3.87%
Avg Winner: +1.94%
Avg Loser: -5.03%
Best: +1.94%
Worst: -11.15%
Trades: 1/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.16%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.16%
Best: -0.01%
Worst: -12.37%
Trades: 0/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.63%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.63%
Best: -0.55%
Worst: -16.44%
Trades: 0/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -3.78%
Avg Winner: +7.75%
Avg Loser: -6.09%
Best: +7.75%
Worst: -14.03%
Trades: 1/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.70%
Best MFE: +7.99%
Avg Time to MFE: 67 min

On average, VITL alerts reach +2.70% profit potential within 67 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.75%
Worst MAE: -3.51%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.75%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, VITL typically reaches +2.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.53%
Best Gap +0.51%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS

How VITL compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VITL: -1.01% Sector: -0.14% -0.87%
EOD Gain
VITL: -3.78% Sector: -0.33% -3.45%
Avg MFE
VITL: +2.70% Sector: +4.87% -2.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VITL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-05-11 09:25:00 $8.99 -1.11% -5.78% -6.67% -3.11% -2.78% +0.72% -1.45% +0.11% LOSS
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $9.23 +3.13% +1.94% -0.01% -0.55% -3.15% +4.54% -0.34% +0.10% WIN
2026-03-26 09:25:00 $13.64 -2.93% -2.86% -2.57% -3.08% -4.62% +0.15% -0.88% -0.73% LOSS
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $14.54 +0.83% -2.34% -2.82% -3.65% -5.85% +0.91% -0.21% -0.21% WIN
2026-02-26 09:25:00 $20.52 +3.22% -3.02% -0.54% -0.93% +7.75% +7.99% -3.51% +0.51% WIN
2024-11-07 09:26:46 $36.5 -9.18% -11.15% -12.37% -16.44% -14.03% +1.89% +1.89% -2.96% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ VITL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.01% average gain, VITL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VITL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze VITL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VITL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VITL historically offers an average upside of +2.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VITL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, VITL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VITL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VITL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.01%). This suggests VITL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.