FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

VITL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-11-07 → 2024-11-07

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Vital Farms, Inc. Common Stock FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS (SIC 2000)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 2020 🔗 www.vitalfarms.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.27B 👥 Employees: 447
Vital Farms Inc is an ethical food company. The company retails pasture-raised eggs and butter. Its products include Pasture-Raised Eggs and Pasture-Raised Butter & Ghee. The company's purpose is rooted in a commitment to Conscious Capitalism, which prioritizes the long-term benefits of its stakeholders (farmers and suppliers, customers and consumers, communities and the environment, employees, and stockholders).
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-9.18%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.89%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -9.18%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -9.18%
Best: -9.18%
Worst: -9.18%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -11.15%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -11.15%
Best: -11.15%
Worst: -11.15%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -12.37%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -12.37%
Best: -12.37%
Worst: -12.37%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -16.44%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -16.44%
Best: -16.44%
Worst: -16.44%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -14.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -14.03%
Best: -14.03%
Worst: -14.03%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.89%
Best MFE: +1.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 0 min

On average, VITL alerts reach +1.89% profit potential within 0 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +1.89%
Worst MAE: +1.89%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.89%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.0:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, VITL typically reaches +1.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -2.96%
Best Gap -2.96%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS

How VITL compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VITL: -9.18% Sector: -0.08% -9.10%
EOD Gain
VITL: -14.03% Sector: -0.37% -13.66%
Avg MFE
VITL: +1.89% Sector: +4.63% -2.74%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VITL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-07 09:26:46 $36.5 -9.18% -11.15% -12.37% -16.44% -14.03% +1.89% +1.89% -2.96% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ VITL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -9.18% average gain, VITL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VITL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze VITL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VITL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VITL historically offers an average upside of +1.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VITL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, VITL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VITL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VITL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -9.18%). This suggests VITL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.