$VLO
Trade-Ideas alerts 47.7% at 5-min n=65 2022-01-10 → 2026-09-23
⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 65 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading VLO on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, VLO alerts reach +1.79% profit potential within 140 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.73%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 65 alerts, VLO typically reaches +1.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING
How VLO compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical VLO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | 09:25:00 | $378.76 | +1.90% | +0.24% | +1.31% | +1.19% | -0.77% | +2.44% | -0.30% | +0.44% | WIN |
| 2026-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $385.38 | -0.57% | -0.79% | -1.66% | -0.20% | -2.14% | +2.81% | -2.68% | -0.12% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-21 | 09:25:00 | $407.0 | +1.46% | +0.71% | +0.78% | -0.34% | -3.37% | +2.96% | +0.17% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2026-09-17 | 09:25:00 | $398.44 | -0.24% | +1.26% | +1.39% | +0.68% | +3.54% | +3.76% | -1.10% | +0.00% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $396.65 | -0.83% | +0.29% | +0.35% | -0.38% | -3.45% | +0.78% | -1.59% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-10 | 09:25:00 | $393.96 | -0.91% | -1.00% | -1.57% | -2.92% | -2.17% | -0.00% | -0.01% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-09 | 09:25:00 | $386.5 | +0.32% | -1.20% | -1.42% | -0.86% | +0.63% | +0.69% | -1.79% | -0.03% | WIN |
| 2026-08-10 | 09:25:00 | $302.1 | +0.68% | +2.53% | +2.58% | +2.57% | +4.25% | +4.56% | -0.25% | +0.74% | WIN |
| 2026-07-27 | 09:25:00 | $295.1 | +1.09% | +2.83% | +3.00% | +1.76% | +3.33% | +3.74% | +0.21% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2026-07-15 | 09:25:00 | $301.62 | -1.19% | -1.19% | -1.90% | -2.11% | -2.97% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -0.87% | LOSS |
| 2026-05-26 | 09:25:00 | $243.61 | -0.77% | +0.80% | +1.60% | +0.40% | -0.89% | +2.00% | -0.92% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2026-05-06 | 09:25:00 | $242.01 | +0.15% | -0.16% | -0.53% | -1.79% | -2.20% | +0.76% | -0.56% | +0.30% | WIN |
| 2026-04-23 | 09:25:00 | $235.81 | -0.08% | -0.59% | -0.94% | -1.84% | -0.84% | +0.19% | -0.34% | -0.22% | LOSS |
| 2026-04-08 | 09:25:00 | $233.0 | +0.81% | +1.15% | +1.56% | +2.37% | +2.85% | +3.71% | -0.48% | +0.86% | WIN |
| 2026-03-23 | 09:25:00 | $233.53 | +1.77% | +2.47% | +2.11% | +2.57% | +1.65% | +3.39% | -1.00% | -0.55% | WIN |
| 2026-02-27 | 09:25:00 | $204.6 | -0.52% | -2.34% | -1.68% | -2.52% | +0.02% | +0.21% | -2.69% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2026-02-11 | 09:25:00 | $201.86 | +0.18% | -0.09% | -0.09% | -0.51% | +1.02% | +1.22% | -0.67% | +0.65% | WIN |
| 2026-02-09 | 09:25:00 | $204.6 | -0.35% | -2.01% | -1.41% | -1.26% | -1.57% | -0.22% | -0.82% | -0.82% | LOSS |
| 2026-01-09 | 09:25:00 | $191.75 | -0.80% | -2.73% | -2.29% | -4.34% | -3.37% | +0.08% | +0.07% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2026-01-07 | 09:25:00 | $184.96 | +0.27% | +1.16% | +1.16% | +0.85% | -0.59% | +1.46% | -0.78% | -0.32% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ VLO Shows Negative Expectancy
With 47.7% win rate and -0.03% average gain, VLO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VLO for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze VLO with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VLO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, VLO historically offers an average upside of +1.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 VLO Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 47.7%, VLO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VLO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: VLO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.03%). This suggests VLO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.