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VLTO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-22 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 27, 2023 🔗 www.veralto.com
💰 Market Cap: $25.16B 👥 Employees: 17,000
Veralto is a diversified industrial firm organized into two segments, water quality as well as product quality and innovation. The water quality segment offers water analytics and water treatment solutions, while the product quality and innovation segment offers coding, packaging, and color solutions for consumer packaged goods and pharmaceuticals. Headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts, the company has around 17,000 employees. Veralto generated approximately $5.2 billion in revenue in 2024.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
41.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.26%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.59%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +0.86%
Worst: -1.39%
Trades: 3/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: -1.22%
Trades: 4/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +1.51%
Worst: -2.19%
Trades: 4/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +0.83%
Worst: -1.52%
Trades: 5/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -1.15%
Best: +1.06%
Worst: -2.13%
Trades: 5/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.59%
Best MFE: +1.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, VLTO alerts reach +0.59% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.83%
Worst MAE: -1.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.83%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.71:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, VLTO typically reaches +0.59% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.31%
Best Gap +0.79%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INSTRUMENTS FOR MEAS & TESTING OF ELECTRICITY & ELEC SIGNALS

How VLTO compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VLTO: -0.36% Sector: -0.62% +0.26%
EOD Gain
VLTO: -0.36% Sector: -0.15% -0.21%
Avg MFE
VLTO: +0.59% Sector: +4.53% -3.94%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VLTO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:25:21 $102.5 -0.27% +0.14% -0.09% +0.10% +0.76% +0.86% -0.72% -0.55% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:29:44 $104.23 -0.31% -0.50% -0.32% -0.09% -0.74% +0.23% -1.56% -0.52% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:27:14 $111.16 +0.57% +0.53% +0.76% +0.27% +0.92% +1.25% - +0.66% WIN
2024-10-01 09:25:44 $111.84 +0.34% -0.55% -0.46% -0.64% -1.62% +0.69% +0.20% +0.63% WIN
2024-09-23 09:28:12 $109.46 +0.86% +1.11% +1.51% +0.83% +0.72% +1.58% -0.22% +0.79% WIN
2024-09-20 09:27:16 $109.13 -0.53% +0.39% +0.17% +0.01% +0.31% +0.58% -0.53% +0.19% LOSS
2024-08-09 09:29:08 $107.68 -0.87% -1.19% -1.64% -1.28% -1.47% -0.55% -1.17% -0.85% LOSS
2024-08-06 09:29:24 $103.03 -1.05% -0.41% +0.03% +0.27% +1.06% +1.94% -1.23% -0.67% LOSS
2024-07-29 09:27:38 $107.0 -0.88% -1.22% -0.59% -0.61% -1.78% -0.10% -1.45% -0.86% LOSS
2024-07-03 09:27:23 $95.63 -0.50% -0.79% -0.58% -0.28% -0.31% +0.26% -1.04% -0.95% LOSS
2024-07-02 09:25:31 $96.4 -1.39% -1.07% -2.19% -1.52% -2.13% -0.85% -1.35% -1.35% LOSS
2023-11-22 09:29:00 $72.97 -0.29% -0.23% -0.06% -0.25% -0.04% +1.18% -0.86% -0.23% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ VLTO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 41.7% win rate and -0.26% average gain, VLTO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VLTO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze VLTO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VLTO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VLTO historically offers an average upside of +0.59% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VLTO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.7%, VLTO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VLTO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VLTO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.26%). This suggests VLTO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.