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VNOM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-14 → 2025-01-31

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Viper Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 18, 2014 🔗 www.viperenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.67B
Viper Energy Inc is focused on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties in the Permian Basin. The Permian Basin is known to have a number of zones of oil and natural gas-bearing rock throughout.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
77.8%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.56%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.31%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +0.48%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 5/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +1.87%
Worst: -0.81%
Trades: 5/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +1.56%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 4/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 77.8%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +2.16%
Worst: -1.15%
Trades: 7/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +3.11%
Worst: -2.26%
Trades: 3/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.62%
Best MFE: +3.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 122 min

On average, VNOM alerts reach +1.62% profit potential within 122 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.91%
Worst MAE: -1.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.79:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, VNOM typically reaches +1.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 22.2%
Avg Gap -0.24%
Best Gap +0.88%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How VNOM compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VNOM: -0.18% Sector: -0.16% -0.02%
EOD Gain
VNOM: -0.10% Sector: +59.69% -59.80%
Avg MFE
VNOM: +1.62% Sector: +2.88% -1.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VNOM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-31 09:25:49 $46.59 +0.28% +1.87% +0.99% +2.15% +0.67% +3.58% -1.14% +0.88% WIN
2024-11-11 09:26:01 $54.92 -1.17% -0.64% -0.81% -0.86% -2.26% -0.25% -1.49% -1.20% LOSS
2024-10-01 09:29:01 $45.0 -0.40% - +1.56% +2.16% +3.11% +3.84% -0.79% -0.16% LOSS
2024-09-12 09:29:36 $43.68 +0.48% +0.15% -0.27% +0.37% -0.76% +1.69% -0.92% -0.05% WIN
2024-04-12 09:29:26 $41.0 +0.06% -0.03% -0.26% +0.16% -1.46% +0.54% -0.95% - WIN
2024-04-11 09:27:15 $40.57 -0.94% -0.81% -1.06% -1.15% +0.57% +0.63% -1.87% -0.86% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:27:02 $35.25 +0.45% +0.66% -0.38% +0.28% -0.14% +1.42% - +0.14% WIN
2023-11-30 09:25:00 $31.0 -0.65% +0.77% +0.19% +0.46% -0.58% +1.06% -0.65% -0.65% LOSS
2023-11-14 09:29:00 $30.32 +0.26% +0.56% +1.27% +1.47% -0.07% +2.08% -0.36% -0.23% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 77.8% Baseline on VNOM

The 77.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VNOM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VNOM Strategy →

Why Analyze VNOM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VNOM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VNOM historically offers an average upside of +1.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VNOM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 77.8%, VNOM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VNOM performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.