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VOD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 296 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Vodafone Group PLC
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 26, 1988 🔗 www.vodafone.com
💰 Market Cap: $33.33B 👥 Employees: 86,702
Vodafone operates mobile and fixed-line networks and businesses across Europe, Africa, and the Middle East. Its largest market is Germany, where it is the second mobile operator after Deutsche Telekom and owns two cable network after acquiring Kabel Deutschland in 2013 and Liberty Global Germany in 2019. In the UK Vodafone merger with CK Hutchison in 2024, consolidating the mobile market. It also divested its Spanish and Italian divisions in that same year, given their low returns on invested capital.
📊
296
Total Alerts
🎯
45.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.09%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.20%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +1.06%
Worst: -1.55%
Trades: 128/137

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +1.69%
Worst: -3.11%
Trades: 127/148

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +2.35%
Worst: -3.39%
Trades: 131/154

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.2%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +3.19%
Worst: -3.91%
Trades: 133/153

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +4.73%
Worst: -3.97%
Trades: 127/161

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.80%
Best MFE: +5.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, VOD alerts reach +0.80% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.34%
Worst MAE: -2.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 296 alerts, VOD typically reaches +0.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 296
Gap Up % 22.0%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VOD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:48 $8.37 +0.54% +0.72% +0.72% +0.30% -0.12% +0.96% +0.24% +0.36% WIN
2025-02-13 09:29:20 $8.4 +0.12% +0.12% +0.01% +0.12% +0.36% +0.83% -0.12% - WIN
2025-02-12 09:27:30 $8.61 -0.10% - +0.17% -0.12% -0.23% +0.58% -0.35% - LOSS
2025-02-11 09:28:00 $8.44 -0.12% -0.24% -0.00% +0.30% +0.71% +0.89% -0.36% +0.12% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:25 $8.61 -0.17% -0.46% -0.41% +0.12% -0.46% +0.23% -0.12% +0.12% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:44 $8.2 +0.30% +0.61% +0.37% +0.73% +0.85% +1.22% - - WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:48 $8.08 -0.37% -0.74% -0.26% -0.74% +1.49% +1.73% -0.99% +0.12% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:58 $8.56 - +0.12% -0.23% +1.07% -0.82% +1.81% -0.47% - -
2025-01-28 09:25:21 $8.59 -0.23% +0.12% +0.06% -0.29% -0.93% +0.47% -0.35% -0.23% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:15 $8.53 -0.06% +0.57% +0.41% -0.23% +0.47% +0.59% -0.12% +0.12% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:29:33 $8.42 -0.06% +0.12% -0.06% -0.06% -0.48% +0.36% -0.24% +0.12% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:45 $8.45 +0.12% -0.24% -0.23% -0.22% +0.35% +0.53% -0.59% - WIN
2025-01-08 09:29:52 $8.19 -0.49% -0.62% -0.67% +0.06% +0.24% +0.55% -0.85% +0.12% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:25:15 $8.47 -0.89% -0.89% -0.18% -0.06% -0.47% +0.12% +0.12% -0.47% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:28:18 $8.29 +0.34% +0.24% +0.30% +0.72% +1.21% +1.57% -0.24% -0.12% WIN
2024-12-18 09:26:16 $8.48 +0.35% +0.12% +0.35% +0.24% -0.83% +0.77% -0.47% - WIN
2024-12-03 09:28:45 $8.93 +0.11% - -0.11% -0.39% -1.12% +0.22% - - WIN
2024-11-26 09:25:54 $8.97 -0.22% -0.17% -0.00% -0.61% -1.23% +0.01% -0.33% -0.11% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:25:13 $8.87 +0.28% - +0.11% +0.45% +0.45% +0.79% -0.22% - WIN
2024-11-21 09:27:30 $8.95 -0.34% -0.45% -0.50% -0.67% -1.23% -0.06% -0.39% -0.22% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ VOD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.2% win rate and -0.09% average gain, VOD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VOD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze VOD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VOD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VOD historically offers an average upside of +0.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VOD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.2%, VOD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VOD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VOD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.09%). This suggests VOD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.