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VRA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-07 → 2023-06-07

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 21, 2010 🔗 www.verabradley.com
💰 Market Cap: $69.9M 👥 Employees: 1,725
Vera Bradley Inc designs women's handbags, travel items, and accessories. Each category comprises a substantial component of total sales, with the bags category comprising the majority of the company's sales are made directly to customers through Vera Bradley's retail stores and e-commerce sites. The company also has a substantial wholesale business selling to specialty retail and department stores. Almost all company sales are in the United States. Vera Bradley uses third-party manufacturers in Asia to produce its products, and the company distributes the products through its distribution center in Indiana. The Company has three reportable segments: Vera Bradley Direct, Vera Bradley Indirect, and Pura Vida. The majority of revenue is from the Vera Bradley Direct segment.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.17%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.17%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.17%
Worst: +0.17%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.00%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: -1.00%
Worst: -1.00%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: -0.34%
Worst: -0.34%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.84%
Avg Winner: +1.84%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.84%
Worst: +1.84%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 0/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.53%
Best MFE: +5.53%
Avg Time to MFE: 158 min

On average, VRA alerts reach +5.53% profit potential within 158 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.35%
Worst MAE: -3.35%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.65:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, VRA typically reaches +5.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.34%
Best Gap -0.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: LEATHER & LEATHER PRODUCTS

How VRA compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VRA: +0.17% Sector: +0.04% +0.13%
EOD Gain
VRA: +0.00% Sector: -0.49% +0.49%
Avg MFE
VRA: +5.53% Sector: +2.49% +3.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VRA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-07 09:27:00 $5.97 +0.17% -1.00% -0.34% +1.84% - +5.53% -3.35% -0.34% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on VRA

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VRA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VRA Strategy →

Why Analyze VRA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VRA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VRA historically offers an average upside of +5.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VRA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, VRA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VRA performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.17%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.