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VRAX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 57 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-26 → 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (57 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 21, 2022 🔗 www.viraxbiolabs.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.1M 👥 Employees: 19
Virax Biolabs Group Ltd is an inventive biotechnology company focused on the detection of immune responses to and diagnosis of viral diseases. Through its ViraxImmune platform and ImmuneSelect portfolio of research-use-only (RUO) products and services, the Company is building an immune-profiling offering that spans RUO assays, preclinical immunology services and, longer term, T cell-based diagnostics aimed at post-acute infection syndromes (PAIS) such as Long COVID and other chronic conditions linked to immune dysregulation.
📊
57
Total Alerts
🎯
63.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+360.30%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+12.74%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +2.66%
Avg Loser: -3.16%
Best: +9.74%
Worst: -17.24%
Trades: 25/32

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +6.52%
Avg Loser: -4.35%
Best: +26.14%
Worst: -16.54%
Trades: 20/36

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: -2.19%
Avg Winner: +5.06%
Avg Loser: -7.09%
Best: +20.66%
Worst: -27.60%
Trades: 22/33

60MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -4.56%
Avg Winner: +5.03%
Avg Loser: -9.62%
Best: +14.45%
Worst: -30.18%
Trades: 19/36

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 63.2%
Avg Gain: +360.30%
Avg Winner: +577.96%
Avg Loser: -12.82%
Best: +1467.46%
Worst: -29.64%
Trades: 36/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.74%
Best MFE: +95.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 76 min

On average, VRAX alerts reach +12.74% profit potential within 76 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.94%
Worst MAE: -18.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.94%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.23:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.23x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, VRAX typically reaches +12.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 57
Gap Up % 38.6%
Avg Gap -0.33%
Best Gap +6.82%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VRAX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:28:21 $1.78 -0.56% -0.56% +5.22% +1.12% +6.18% +7.87% -0.56% +2.81% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:28:06 $2.3 +1.09% +14.34% +10.88% +7.83% +5.65% +18.67% -1.74% -1.74% WIN
2024-12-19 09:29:35 $2.3 -6.96% -6.52% -14.35% -14.94% -17.83% -1.30% -3.48% -1.30% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:25:56 $1.84 -1.09% - +3.80% +1.09% -1.63% +7.61% -3.26% -3.26% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:28:21 $1.79 -1.59% +3.91% +3.91% +6.70% +5.03% +13.41% -1.68% +1.12% LOSS
2024-10-24 09:29:43 $2.46 -6.48% -1.79% -1.22% +2.85% +4.47% +13.82% -8.54% +2.03% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:28:49 $3.32 -0.45% -6.01% -10.54% -20.18% -24.10% +9.04% -5.42% +0.30% LOSS
2024-08-30 09:27:36 $5.26 +3.42% -0.19% -3.80% -7.03% -11.41% +4.94% -0.57% -0.57% WIN
2024-08-29 09:28:21 $4.64 +2.80% -3.45% -5.16% -1.72% +9.05% +19.40% -7.33% -0.43% WIN
2024-08-28 09:27:29 $6.25 -0.32% +14.24% +11.84% +1.44% -22.08% +22.08% -2.40% - LOSS
2024-08-26 09:28:49 $5.32 -7.34% -2.82% -5.83% -15.04% -13.35% -0.56% -10.71% -1.88% LOSS
2024-08-23 09:27:45 $5.73 -2.10% -0.70% +3.40% +1.22% -4.89% +8.55% -6.63% +1.22% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:29:45 $5.88 +2.22% -1.02% -0.85% -11.56% -11.90% +14.80% -1.36% -0.17% WIN
2024-08-21 09:25:20 $3.53 -4.25% -3.40% - +14.45% +81.30% +95.47% -6.80% -0.57% LOSS
2024-08-20 09:26:39 $4.09 -1.22% +3.67% +3.67% -8.29% -12.96% +7.58% +2.20% +6.60% LOSS
2024-08-19 09:25:29 $5.1 -6.27% +5.69% -2.94% - +0.98% +76.47% -15.49% -1.57% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:25:53 $1.6 -4.16% -1.88% -9.38% -11.88% -13.12% +2.50% -0.62% -0.62% LOSS
2024-06-06 09:25:17 $2.8 -4.64% -6.65% -10.36% -21.07% -29.64% +0.36% -2.14% -7.86% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:29:00 $1.74 -17.24% -9.85% -5.75% -10.34% -7.47% +0.57% -5.75% - LOSS
2023-09-12 09:27:00 $0.34 -1.31% -1.84% +0.68% +1.81% +7.05% +7.05% -6.16% +2.59% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.2% Baseline on VRAX

The 63.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VRAX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VRAX Strategy →

Why Analyze VRAX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VRAX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VRAX historically offers an average upside of +12.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VRAX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.2%, VRAX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VRAX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +360.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.