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VREX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-08 → 2023-10-27

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Varex Imaging Corporation Common Stock ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC (SIC 3679)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 30, 2017 🔗 www.vareximaging.com
💰 Market Cap: $580.6M 👥 Employees: 2,400
Varex Imaging Corp Designs, manufactures, sells, and services X-ray imaging components, including X-ray tubes, detectors, ionization chambers, high-voltage connectors, software, collimators, generators, exposure control devices, and heat exchangers.. The company operates through two segments: Medical, the key revenue driver, providing X-ray imaging components and accessories for healthcare applications, and Industrial, which provides Linatron X-ray accelerators, X-ray tubes, flat panel detectors, high-voltage connectors, and coolers for non-medical use. Geographically, it generates the majority of its revenue from Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), with the rest coming from the Americas and Asia Pacific.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.36%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.42%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.43%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -0.63%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.70%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: -0.46%
Worst: -0.95%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +0.42%
Worst: -1.15%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.92%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +0.05%
Worst: -1.78%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: +0.73%
Worst: -2.00%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.42%
Best MFE: +0.87%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, VREX alerts reach +0.42% profit potential within 140 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.04%
Worst MAE: -1.58%
Avg Time to MAE: 29 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.41:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, VREX typically reaches +0.42% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC

How VREX compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VREX: -0.43% Sector: -0.22% -0.21%
EOD Gain
VREX: -1.26% Sector: -0.20% -1.06%
Avg MFE
VREX: +0.20% Sector: +4.46% -4.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VREX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-10-27 09:25:00 $17.39 -0.23% -0.46% -1.15% -1.78% -0.52% -0.23% -0.23% -0.23% LOSS
2023-08-15 09:26:00 $20.68 - - -0.34% -1.04% +0.73% +0.87% -1.58% - -
2023-02-08 09:25:00 $18.99 -0.63% -0.95% +0.42% +0.05% -2.00% +0.63% -1.32% -0.63% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ VREX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.36% average gain, VREX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VREX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze VREX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VREX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VREX historically offers an average upside of +0.42% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VREX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, VREX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VREX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VREX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.36%). This suggests VREX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.