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VRSK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-12-17

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 07, 2009 🔗 www.verisk.com
💰 Market Cap: $30.39B 👥 Employees: 7,800
Verisk Analytics is a leading provider of data analytics and proprietary solutions supporting clients in the insurance ecosystem. Verisk operates under a single segment with two separate business units, underwriting and claims. Within underwriting, the company operates as both a statistical agent and advisory organization, collecting and aggregating industrywide claims and policy data and providing insurers with preapproved forms, rules, and loss costs. Aside from regulatory and compliance offerings, Verisk provides specialized solutions to power P&C underwriting and catastrophe risk assessment used in reinsurance and insurance-linked securities. Verisk's smaller claims business is critical in preventing fraud and estimating property insurance claims.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +0.88%
Worst: -0.68%
Trades: 6/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +0.89%
Worst: -1.07%
Trades: 5/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +0.94%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 6/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +0.96%
Worst: -1.10%
Trades: 3/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +1.02%
Worst: -2.41%
Trades: 3/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.80%
Best MFE: +1.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, VRSK alerts reach +0.80% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.67%
Worst MAE: -1.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 25 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.67%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.2:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, VRSK typically reaches +0.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 41.7%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +0.88%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How VRSK compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VRSK: +0.02% Sector: -0.45% +0.47%
EOD Gain
VRSK: -0.43% Sector: +1109.54% -1109.97%
Avg MFE
VRSK: +0.80% Sector: +6.73% -5.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VRSK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-17 09:25:58 $281.36 -0.51% -0.16% -0.01% +0.28% -0.41% +0.41% -0.70% - LOSS
2024-12-06 09:26:57 $288.89 +0.04% -0.17% +0.28% -0.04% -0.63% +0.70% +0.04% +0.07% WIN
2024-09-06 09:27:02 $272.99 +0.39% +0.42% +0.45% -0.12% -0.49% +0.58% -0.25% +0.41% WIN
2023-03-01 09:28:00 $181.08 +0.86% +0.78% +0.60% -0.65% -2.41% +1.85% -1.33% -1.29% WIN
2023-02-23 09:28:00 $174.5 +0.44% +0.06% +0.12% -0.11% -0.34% +0.55% -0.40% -0.24% WIN
2022-06-03 09:25:00 $174.77 -0.68% -0.47% -1.11% -1.10% -0.64% -0.25% -1.42% -0.47% LOSS
2022-05-02 09:25:00 $204.3 -0.38% -0.77% -0.46% +0.07% -1.03% +0.85% -1.03% -0.32% LOSS
2022-03-01 09:25:00 $178.34 -0.25% -0.33% -0.19% -0.17% +0.57% +1.45% -1.25% -0.58% LOSS
2022-02-18 09:25:00 $190.14 -0.26% +0.30% +0.20% -0.09% -0.44% +0.66% -0.29% +0.17% LOSS
2022-02-15 09:25:00 $192.31 +0.88% +0.89% +0.94% +0.96% +1.02% +1.28% +0.49% +0.88% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $194.69 +0.04% -0.08% -0.11% -0.05% -0.91% +0.54% -0.47% +0.02% WIN
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $197.03 -0.38% -1.07% -1.12% -0.54% +0.59% +0.96% -1.39% -0.32% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on VRSK

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VRSK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VRSK Strategy →

Why Analyze VRSK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VRSK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VRSK historically offers an average upside of +0.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VRSK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, VRSK shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VRSK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.