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WB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 71 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (71 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Weibo Corporation
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 14, 2014 🔗 ir.weibo.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.67B 👥 Employees: 4,982
Weibo Corp is a China-based company mainly engaged in the social media advertising business for people to create, discover and distribute content. The company's activities include Advertising and Marketing, which mainly provides a full range of advertising customization and marketing solutions. The Value-added Services mainly provide services such as membership services on social platforms, online games, live broadcasts, social e-commerce, and others. The Company's main product is the social platform Weibo.
📊
71
Total Alerts
🎯
51.4%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.35%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.46%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +3.66%
Worst: -8.25%
Trades: 30/38

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +5.75%
Worst: -8.59%
Trades: 32/37

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.84%
Avg Loser: -2.75%
Best: +7.60%
Worst: -9.25%
Trades: 36/33

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -3.17%
Best: +8.63%
Worst: -12.44%
Trades: 34/36

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 39.4%
Avg Gain: -0.94%
Avg Winner: +2.46%
Avg Loser: -3.23%
Best: +9.14%
Worst: -10.23%
Trades: 28/42

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.46%
Best MFE: +11.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 77 min

On average, WB alerts reach +2.46% profit potential within 77 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.15%
Worst MAE: -4.85%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.15%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 71 alerts, WB typically reaches +2.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 71
Gap Up % 35.2%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +2.43%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:04 $11.6 -0.26% -2.76% -2.50% -6.55% -4.31% +0.59% -2.28% - LOSS
2024-12-09 09:28:11 $10.39 +3.66% +5.20% +4.62% +2.36% +1.73% +5.77% +0.12% +0.19% WIN
2024-11-19 09:26:37 $8.8 +3.34% +2.73% +0.80% +3.24% +2.84% +5.91% -1.70% -0.91% WIN
2024-10-10 09:25:26 $10.07 +1.59% +0.40% +0.30% +1.44% +1.29% +3.33% -0.40% -0.30% WIN
2024-10-09 09:27:42 $9.78 -0.46% +1.84% +1.99% +2.97% +2.35% +3.78% -0.72% +0.61% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:27:31 $10.29 +3.64% +3.59% +1.36% +1.51% -0.29% +6.41% +0.58% +2.43% WIN
2024-10-07 09:27:55 $12.23 -0.49% +0.16% +0.65% -0.20% -4.25% +1.39% -2.29% -0.49% LOSS
2024-10-02 09:26:52 $11.53 -2.34% -1.99% -3.51% -4.42% -2.86% +0.26% -1.47% +0.09% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:27:12 $10.4 +1.54% +1.63% +4.09% +0.53% -3.08% +4.81% -0.67% +0.53% WIN
2024-09-27 09:29:39 $9.08 +3.08% +5.73% +7.60% +8.15% +9.14% +11.78% - - WIN
2024-09-26 09:27:36 $8.99 +1.21% -1.00% -0.83% -1.17% +2.56% +2.56% -2.78% +0.56% WIN
2024-05-30 09:26:11 $8.63 -0.58% -0.26% -0.35% +0.64% +4.40% +4.98% -0.58% -0.23% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:27:59 $8.16 -2.33% -2.21% -4.41% -5.39% -6.50% -0.55% -1.59% -0.74% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:25:00 $8.36 -0.72% -2.05% -2.27% -3.47% -1.91% +0.60% -0.72% -0.72% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:29:17 $9.26 -2.38% -3.83% -3.73% -4.05% -3.46% - -0.86% -0.54% LOSS
2024-03-19 09:28:55 $9.51 -1.47% -3.21% -3.42% -3.89% -2.10% -0.11% -2.00% -0.11% LOSS
2024-03-14 09:29:44 $10.3 -8.25% -7.50% -6.60% -5.05% -7.67% -0.10% -4.85% -0.10% LOSS
2024-02-29 09:25:36 $9.17 +0.20% +1.31% +1.96% +1.15% -0.55% +2.67% -0.87% - WIN
2024-02-15 09:28:25 $9.35 -0.53% -0.32% -0.43% -0.11% +0.21% +1.39% -1.07% -0.11% LOSS
2024-02-02 00:00:00 $8.48 - - - - -0.47% +0.53% -1.30% -0.94% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WB Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.4% win rate, WB has -0.35% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making WB profitable.

🔧 Fix WB Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze WB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WB historically offers an average upside of +2.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.4%, WB shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.75%) outweigh average wins (+1.84%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.35%). This suggests WB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.