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WCN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-10-27 → 2023-10-27

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Waste Connections, Inc. REFUSE SYSTEMS (SIC 4953)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 05, 1987 🔗 www.wasteconnections.com
💰 Market Cap: $43.58B 👥 Employees: 23,854
Waste Connections is the third-largest integrated provider of traditional solid waste and recycling services in North America, operating 113 active landfills (20 are exploration and production waste landfills and 16 are nonmunicipal waste landfills), 163 transfer stations, and 89 recycling operations. The firm serves residential, commercial, industrial, and energy end markets. Waste Connections entered the Canadian market via its 2016 merger with Progressive Waste. In 2024, 14% of consolidated revenue was generated from the firm's Canadian segment.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.28%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.96%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.28%
Worst: +0.28%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.76%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.76%
Worst: +0.76%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.29%
Worst: +0.29%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.09%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.09%
Worst: +0.09%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.13%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.13%
Worst: +0.13%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.96%
Best MFE: +0.96%
Avg Time to MFE: 14 min

On average, WCN alerts reach +0.96% profit potential within 14 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.15%
Worst MAE: -0.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.15%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.47:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.47x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, WCN typically reaches +0.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.48%
Best Gap +0.48%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REFUSE SYSTEMS

How WCN compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WCN: +0.28% Sector: +0.04% +0.24%
EOD Gain
WCN: +0.13% Sector: +0.13% -0.01%
Avg MFE
WCN: +0.96% Sector: +0.92% +0.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WCN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-10-27 09:27:00 $127.88 +0.28% +0.76% +0.29% +0.09% +0.13% +0.96% -0.15% +0.48% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

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🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on WCN

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push WCN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize WCN Strategy →

Why Analyze WCN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WCN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WCN historically offers an average upside of +0.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WCN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, WCN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show WCN performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.