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WEN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-22 → 2024-02-15

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1973 🔗 www.wendys.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.60B 👥 Employees: 14,500
The Wendy's Company is the second-largest burger quick-service restaurant, or QSR, chain in the United States by systemwide sales, with $12.6 billion in 2024, narrowly edging Burger King ($11.5 billion) and clocking in well behind wide-moat McDonald's ($51.1 billion). After divestitures of Tim Hortons (2006) and Arby's (2011), the firm manages just the burger banner, generating sales across a footprint that spanned more than 7,200 total stores in 30 countries as of year-end 2024. Wendy's generates revenue from the sale of hamburgers, chicken sandwiches, salads, and fries throughout its company-owned footprint, through franchise royalty and marketing fund payments remitted by its franchisees, which account for roughly 94% of stores, and through franchise flipping and advisory fees.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+1.70%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.09%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +1.03%
Worst: -1.29%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.67%
Avg Winner: +3.78%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +4.11%
Worst: -1.57%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.05%
Avg Winner: +2.87%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +5.83%
Worst: -1.75%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.70%
Avg Winner: +3.03%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +6.16%
Worst: -1.22%
Trades: 4/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.26%
Avg Winner: +4.33%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +7.70%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 3/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.09%
Best MFE: +8.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 78 min

On average, WEN alerts reach +3.09% profit potential within 78 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.62%
Worst MAE: -1.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.02:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.02x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, WEN typically reaches +3.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +0.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES

How WEN compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WEN: +0.03% Sector: -0.02% +0.05%
EOD Gain
WEN: +1.26% Sector: +4.83% -3.57%
Avg MFE
WEN: +3.09% Sector: +2.03% +1.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WEN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-15 09:29:06 $18.5 +1.03% -0.38% +0.41% +1.73% +2.65% +3.32% -0.11% +0.27% WIN
2023-01-13 09:25:00 $21.43 +0.56% +4.11% +5.83% +6.16% +7.70% +8.35% -0.14% -0.09% WIN
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $22.32 -0.20% -0.45% -0.02% +0.31% -0.63% +0.92% -0.67% +0.13% LOSS
2022-05-25 09:25:00 $17.4 +0.63% +3.45% +2.36% +3.94% +2.64% +5.75% -0.17% -0.11% WIN
2022-03-21 09:25:00 $22.47 -1.29% -1.16% -1.75% -1.22% -2.54% -0.76% -1.42% -1.16% LOSS
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $22.89 -0.57% -1.57% -0.52% -0.72% -2.27% +0.96% -1.18% -0.61% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on WEN

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push WEN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize WEN Strategy →

Why Analyze WEN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WEN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WEN historically offers an average upside of +3.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WEN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, WEN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show WEN performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.70%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.