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WLKP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-05-08 → 2024-05-14

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

WESTLAKE CHEMICAL PARTNERS LP INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS (SIC 2860)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 30, 2014 🔗 www.wlkpartners.com
💰 Market Cap: $743.3M
Westlake Chemical Partners LP is a part of the chemical industry in the United States. Its operations are conducted through OpCo, it acquires and develops ethylene production facilities, which convert ethane into ethylene. OpCo sells ethylene and its co-products such as propylene, crude butadiene, pyrolysis gasoline, and hydrogen to Westlake and other customers located in the United States. Its assets include three ethylene production facilities in Calvert City, Kentucky, and Lake Charles, Louisiana.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +0.59%
Worst: -0.36%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +0.81%
Worst: -1.07%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +0.74%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.32%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -3.08%
Best: +0.45%
Worst: -3.08%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -2.25%
Best: +2.80%
Worst: -3.17%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.85%
Best MFE: +3.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 188 min

On average, WLKP alerts reach +0.85% profit potential within 188 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.11%
Worst MAE: -3.08%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.76:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, WLKP typically reaches +0.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.79%
Best Gap +0.59%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS

How WLKP compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WLKP: +0.59% Sector: -0.24% +0.82%
EOD Gain
WLKP: +0.14% Sector: +170.47% -170.34%
Avg MFE
WLKP: +0.81% Sector: +5.49% -4.68%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WLKP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-14 09:26:21 $22.19 +0.59% +0.81% +0.74% +0.45% +0.14% +0.81% +0.17% +0.59% WIN
2024-05-10 09:28:18 $21.79 -0.09% +0.23% - - +2.80% +3.07% -0.46% -0.46% LOSS
2024-05-09 09:26:03 $22.4 -0.36% -1.07% -0.27% - -1.34% +0.25% -1.07% -0.36% LOSS
2024-05-08 09:28:06 $22.72 - - - -3.08% -3.17% -0.75% -3.08% -2.95% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WLKP Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, WLKP has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making WLKP profitable.

🔧 Fix WLKP Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze WLKP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WLKP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WLKP historically offers an average upside of +0.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WLKP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, WLKP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.07%) outweigh average wins (+0.52%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WLKP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.01%). This suggests WLKP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.