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WRB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-12-23

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 23, 1973 🔗 www.wrberkley.com
💰 Market Cap: $25.51B 👥 Employees: 8,606
W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company with a host of subsidiaries that primarily underwrite commercial casualty insurance. The firm specializes in niche products that include various excess and surplus lines, workers' compensation insurance, self-insurance consulting, reinsurance, and regional commercial lines for small and midsize businesses.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +1.89%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 4/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +1.22%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 4/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +1.17%
Worst: -0.96%
Trades: 3/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +1.27%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 4/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -22.33%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -33.92%
Best: +1.83%
Worst: -56.51%
Trades: 3/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.78%
Best MFE: +2.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 134 min

On average, WRB alerts reach +0.78% profit potential within 134 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -1.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.48:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, WRB typically reaches +0.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +0.94%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

How WRB compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WRB: +0.03% Sector: +0.01% +0.03%
EOD Gain
WRB: -22.33% Sector: +58.36% -80.69%
Avg MFE
WRB: +0.78% Sector: +2.97% -2.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WRB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-23 09:28:25 $58.01 +0.28% +0.22% -0.11% +0.14% +0.69% +0.93% +0.24% +0.24% WIN
2024-12-18 09:26:01 $58.22 +1.89% +1.13% +1.15% +0.91% -0.60% +1.89% +0.65% +0.94% WIN
2024-12-06 09:27:53 $63.95 -0.65% -0.91% -0.91% -1.16% -1.56% -0.05% -0.78% -0.78% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:28:07 $59.65 +0.55% +1.22% +1.17% +1.27% +1.83% +2.00% -0.07% -0.07% WIN
2023-01-04 09:26:00 $72.61 +0.45% +0.84% +0.35% +0.10% -33.58% +0.94% +0.33% +0.33% WIN
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $67.89 -0.48% -0.50% -0.96% -1.13% +0.01% +0.16% -1.99% -0.34% LOSS
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $91.94 -0.28% -0.55% -0.34% -0.41% -56.51% -0.01% -0.78% -0.51% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $93.32 -1.12% -1.06% -0.89% -0.81% -56.21% -0.25% -1.40% -1.31% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $91.75 -0.34% -0.36% -0.16% -0.24% -55.05% +1.38% -0.93% -0.46% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 44.4% Baseline on WRB

The 44.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push WRB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize WRB Strategy →

Why Analyze WRB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WRB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WRB historically offers an average upside of +0.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WRB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, WRB shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show WRB performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.