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WRBY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-17 → 2022-05-16

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Warby Parker Inc. OPHTHALMIC GOODS (SIC 3851)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 29, 2021 🔗 www.warbyparker.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.22B 👥 Employees: 3,780
Warby Parker Inc is a mission-driven, lifestyle brand that operates at the intersection of design, technology, healthcare, and social enterprise. The company predominantly derives revenue from the sales of eyewear products, optical services, and accessories. The firm sells products and services through its stores, website, and mobile apps. Revenue generated from eyewear products includes the sales of prescription and non-prescription optical glasses and sunglasses, contact lenses, eyewear accessories, and expedited shipping charges.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.68%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.90%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.68%
Avg Winner: +2.10%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +2.78%
Worst: -1.01%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.55%
Avg Winner: +4.54%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +6.69%
Worst: -2.88%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.83%
Avg Winner: +6.30%
Avg Loser: -2.64%
Best: +10.60%
Worst: -4.03%
Trades: 2/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +3.45%
Avg Winner: +9.40%
Avg Loser: -2.50%
Best: +13.07%
Worst: -2.71%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +1.21%
Avg Winner: +17.97%
Avg Loser: -4.37%
Best: +17.97%
Worst: -8.32%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.90%
Best MFE: +20.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, WRBY alerts reach +7.90% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.07%
Worst MAE: -4.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.07%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.4x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, WRBY typically reaches +7.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap +0.19%
Best Gap +2.46%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OPHTHALMIC GOODS

How WRBY compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WRBY: +0.68% Sector: +0.86% -0.17%
EOD Gain
WRBY: +1.21% Sector: +428.54% -427.32%
Avg MFE
WRBY: +7.90% Sector: +8.76% -0.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WRBY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-16 09:25:00 $17.09 -1.01% +2.40% +1.99% +5.73% -3.39% +6.14% -4.21% -0.53% LOSS
2022-03-17 09:25:00 $23.48 +1.41% +6.69% +10.60% +13.07% +17.97% +20.78% -1.15% -0.09% WIN
2022-03-04 09:25:00 $28.01 +2.78% -0.02% -1.25% -2.29% -8.32% +3.86% +2.20% +2.46% WIN
2022-02-17 09:25:00 $29.9 -0.45% -2.88% -4.03% -2.71% -1.40% +0.80% -1.10% -1.10% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on WRBY

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push WRBY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize WRBY Strategy →

Why Analyze WRBY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WRBY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WRBY historically offers an average upside of +7.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WRBY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, WRBY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show WRBY performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.68%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.