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WTI Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 53 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-14 → 2025-01-21
⚠️ Small sample size (53 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, WTI alerts reach +3.16% profit potential within 106 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.37%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.31x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 53 alerts, WTI typically reaches +3.16% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
How WTI compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical WTI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | 09:26:28 | $1.82 | -1.10% | -2.09% | -2.75% | -1.69% | - | +1.65% | -3.26% | +1.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-13 | 09:29:59 | $1.77 | +0.28% | +0.56% | +2.82% | +3.11% | +1.13% | +3.95% | -2.54% | -1.13% | WIN |
| 2024-12-12 | 09:28:14 | $1.76 | - | +0.85% | +0.57% | +0.05% | - | +2.56% | +0.06% | +2.27% | - |
| 2024-10-04 | 09:27:19 | $2.75 | +0.71% | -5.82% | -3.63% | -3.64% | -2.55% | +2.55% | +0.03% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2024-10-02 | 09:25:00 | $2.37 | +1.39% | +0.84% | +2.49% | +2.74% | +2.53% | +4.22% | -0.41% | +1.27% | WIN |
| 2024-09-09 | 09:27:03 | $2.07 | -2.66% | -1.93% | -1.69% | -1.21% | -1.93% | -0.48% | -2.90% | -0.97% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-06 | 09:25:00 | $3.2 | -0.94% | -0.62% | +1.09% | +0.78% | +1.88% | +3.12% | -2.19% | -1.88% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:28:00 | $3.35 | +0.28% | +1.19% | +1.19% | +0.90% | +2.39% | +3.58% | -0.90% | -0.90% | WIN |
| 2023-06-05 | 09:25:00 | $4.17 | +2.40% | +0.72% | -0.24% | -3.00% | -4.08% | +3.12% | - | +0.96% | WIN |
| 2023-05-03 | 09:28:00 | $3.91 | +1.53% | +2.07% | +2.56% | +4.09% | +3.07% | +5.12% | -0.26% | +0.77% | WIN |
| 2023-04-03 | 09:29:00 | $5.49 | +1.27% | +1.71% | +0.18% | +0.82% | -0.18% | +2.73% | -1.27% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2023-03-15 | 09:27:00 | $4.96 | -2.82% | -0.81% | -3.02% | -2.82% | -6.25% | +0.60% | -0.20% | -1.41% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-04 | 09:25:00 | $4.97 | -0.40% | +1.81% | +1.01% | +2.82% | +3.82% | +6.03% | -1.61% | -0.60% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $6.85 | +1.90% | +2.74% | +1.75% | +2.19% | +0.15% | +3.21% | -0.73% | -0.73% | WIN |
| 2022-11-10 | 09:25:00 | $7.39 | -1.76% | -4.60% | -3.38% | -1.08% | -0.41% | +0.41% | -5.55% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-27 | 09:25:00 | $8.22 | -0.73% | - | -2.37% | -1.70% | -5.60% | +0.49% | -1.34% | -0.97% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-07 | 09:25:00 | $7.76 | +0.94% | +2.06% | +0.32% | +1.16% | -3.22% | +2.96% | -1.93% | -0.26% | WIN |
| 2022-10-03 | 09:25:00 | $6.29 | +0.48% | -0.16% | +1.11% | +0.72% | +2.54% | +3.18% | -0.64% | -0.48% | WIN |
| 2022-08-31 | 09:25:00 | $6.06 | -0.99% | +2.48% | +2.48% | +5.69% | +7.26% | +9.41% | -1.49% | - | LOSS |
| 2022-08-16 | 09:25:00 | $5.7 | +0.70% | +0.61% | +1.23% | +0.44% | -3.68% | +2.63% | - | +0.70% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ WTI Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 54.7% win rate, WTI has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making WTI profitable.
🔧 Fix WTI Risk/Reward →Why Analyze WTI with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WTI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, WTI historically offers an average upside of +3.16% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 WTI Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 54.7%, WTI shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.30%) outweigh average wins (+2.70%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: WTI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests WTI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.