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WTRG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-08 → 2025-01-06

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Essential Utilities, Inc. WATER SUPPLY (SIC 4941)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 19, 1980 🔗 www.essential.co
💰 Market Cap: $11.09B 👥 Employees: 3,291
Essential Utilities is a Pennsylvania-based holding company for US water, wastewater, and natural gas distribution utilities. The company's water business serves 3 million people in eight states. Its largest service territory is in Pennsylvania, primarily suburban Philadelphia. Its Peoples subsidiary serves more than 740,000 gas distribution customers in Pennsylvania and Kentucky. It completed the sale of its West Virginia gas utility and the bulk of its nonregulated assets in 2024. Essential shareholders would own a 31% stake in American Water Works if the proposed all-stock merger closes in 2027.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
55.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.24%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +2.21%
Worst: -2.21%
Trades: 4/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +2.82%
Worst: -2.14%
Trades: 3/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -1.32%
Best: +3.01%
Worst: -2.14%
Trades: 5/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +2.17%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: +3.38%
Worst: -2.31%
Trades: 4/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.95%
Avg Winner: +3.62%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +5.19%
Worst: -2.02%
Trades: 4/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.66%
Best MFE: +5.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 245 min

On average, WTRG alerts reach +1.66% profit potential within 245 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.39%
Worst MAE: -2.37%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.23:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.23x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, WTRG typically reaches +1.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +2.55%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WATER SUPPLY

How WTRG compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WTRG: -0.01% Sector: +0.23% -0.24%
EOD Gain
WTRG: +0.95% Sector: +0.74% +0.20%
Avg MFE
WTRG: +1.66% Sector: +1.88% -0.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WTRG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-06 09:25:59 $36.17 -0.40% -0.98% -1.11% -1.47% -2.02% -0.08% -0.75% -0.53% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:29:59 $39.37 -2.21% -1.55% -1.45% -2.08% -1.42% -1.12% -2.37% -2.21% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:27:16 $39.87 +0.15% -0.03% +0.35% -0.06% -0.23% +0.58% -0.59% -0.18% WIN
2024-04-16 09:28:25 $34.57 -1.00% -2.14% -2.14% -2.31% -2.00% -0.29% -0.93% -0.69% LOSS
2023-11-14 09:28:00 $33.7 +2.21% +2.82% +3.01% +3.38% +5.19% +5.30% +2.14% +2.55% WIN
2023-11-02 09:28:00 $33.65 +1.07% +1.04% +1.84% +2.23% +2.97% +3.66% +0.45% +0.45% WIN
2023-09-22 09:27:00 $36.36 -0.11% -0.17% -0.58% -0.39% -0.28% +0.30% -0.74% -0.06% LOSS
2023-06-07 09:27:00 $40.94 -0.15% -0.22% +0.34% +0.76% +1.88% +2.15% -0.64% +0.15% LOSS
2023-03-08 09:25:00 $40.64 +0.32% +1.70% +1.92% +2.31% +4.43% +4.45% -0.10% +0.15% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.6% Baseline on WTRG

The 55.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push WTRG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize WTRG Strategy →

Why Analyze WTRG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WTRG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WTRG historically offers an average upside of +1.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WTRG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, WTRG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show WTRG performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.24%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.