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WTW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2022-04-25

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE (SIC 6411)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 12, 2001 🔗 www.willistowerswatson.com
💰 Market Cap: $30.91B 👥 Employees: 49,000
Willis Towers Watson PLC is an advisory, broking, and solutions company that provides data-driven, insight-led solutions in the areas of people, risk, and capital. The company's segments include Health, Wealth & Career (HWC) and Risk & Broking (R&B). The HWC segment provides an array of advice, broking, solutions and technology for employee benefit plans, institutional investors, compensation and career programs, and employee experience overall. It focuses on four key areas: Health, Wealth, Career and Benefits Delivery & Outsourcing. The R&B segment provides risk advice, insurance brokerage and consulting services to clients ranging from small businesses to multinational corporations. Its R&B segment includes two businesses: Corporate Risk & Broking and Insurance Consulting and Technology.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
25.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-1.28%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.92%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: -0.43%
Worst: -2.04%
Trades: 0/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.60%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: -0.18%
Worst: -5.17%
Trades: 0/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.28%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +0.44%
Worst: -4.66%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.52%
Avg Winner: +0.09%
Avg Loser: -2.05%
Best: +0.09%
Worst: -5.50%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.20%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -1.99%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -2.76%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.54%
Best MFE: +1.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 163 min

On average, WTW alerts reach +0.54% profit potential within 163 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.44%
Worst MAE: -5.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 44 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.22:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, WTW typically reaches +0.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.08%
Best Gap -0.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE

How WTW compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WTW: -0.92% Sector: +0.05% -0.97%
EOD Gain
WTW: -1.20% Sector: +3236.33% -3237.53%
Avg MFE
WTW: +0.54% Sector: +9.09% -8.55%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WTW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $238.21 -0.68% -0.85% -0.78% -0.53% +1.20% +1.42% -1.96% -0.45% LOSS
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $227.47 -0.52% -0.20% -0.10% -0.12% -2.76% +0.46% -0.65% -0.52% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $228.62 -0.43% -0.18% +0.44% +0.09% -0.89% +0.87% -1.27% -1.27% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $230.51 -2.04% -5.17% -4.66% -5.50% -2.33% -0.61% -5.86% -2.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WTW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 25.0% win rate and -1.28% average gain, WTW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider WTW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze WTW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WTW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WTW historically offers an average upside of +0.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WTW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 25.0%, WTW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests WTW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WTW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.28%). This suggests WTW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.