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Latest signal:

XBI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 234 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 07, 2008
📊
234
Total Alerts
🎯
49.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.06%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.73%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +2.76%
Worst: -1.59%
Trades: 112/120

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: +2.46%
Worst: -3.10%
Trades: 112/121

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: -3.83%
Trades: 106/126

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +5.00%
Worst: -4.03%
Trades: 111/121

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.6%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -1.84%
Best: +8.27%
Worst: -6.84%
Trades: 116/118

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.73%
Best MFE: +8.48%
Avg Time to MFE: 143 min

On average, XBI alerts reach +1.73% profit potential within 143 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.66%
Worst MAE: -3.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 234 alerts, XBI typically reaches +1.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 234
Gap Up % 41.0%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +2.73%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XBI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:26:26 $87.86 +0.18% +0.81% +1.24% +1.26% +2.40% +2.46% -0.06% +0.22% WIN
2025-01-27 09:25:51 $91.93 +0.87% +1.66% +2.30% +2.36% +0.74% +2.72% -0.01% +0.11% WIN
2025-01-15 09:25:21 $88.6 +0.50% +0.34% +0.08% +0.99% -0.06% +1.13% -0.49% +0.11% WIN
2025-01-14 09:28:27 $89.72 -0.35% -0.74% -1.84% -1.20% -3.41% +0.23% +0.09% +0.22% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:20 $88.57 -0.79% -1.55% -1.54% -1.77% +0.63% +0.69% -2.10% -0.08% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:28:25 $89.7 +0.46% +0.76% +0.72% +1.33% +1.76% +2.53% -0.40% -0.37% WIN
2024-11-25 09:27:05 $97.55 +0.82% +1.29% +0.31% +1.25% +0.08% +1.52% -0.02% +0.08% WIN
2024-11-11 09:25:11 $104.97 -0.30% +0.20% -0.27% +0.08% -1.37% +0.48% -0.59% -0.17% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:35 $103.15 -1.43% -1.92% -2.03% -1.20% -0.69% +0.16% -0.74% +0.13% LOSS
2024-09-19 09:27:12 $102.92 -0.27% -0.80% -0.53% +0.19% -0.48% +0.58% -1.04% -0.22% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:26:59 $92.14 +0.11% +0.11% +1.33% +0.17% +1.40% +2.67% -1.24% -1.24% WIN
2024-08-02 09:25:17 $96.7 -0.68% +0.07% -1.09% -1.30% -0.24% +0.17% -1.34% -0.64% LOSS
2024-07-12 09:29:22 $98.73 -0.24% +0.55% +0.73% +1.01% +0.23% +1.28% -0.41% +0.15% LOSS
2024-07-11 09:26:35 $97.12 -0.07% -0.07% +0.55% +0.92% +0.86% +1.71% -0.48% -0.30% LOSS
2024-06-24 09:29:52 $93.22 +0.13% +0.09% +0.60% +0.78% +0.56% +1.44% -0.19% +0.09% WIN
2024-06-12 09:26:15 $95.0 +0.27% -0.71% -0.59% -0.27% -1.24% +0.42% -0.40% - WIN
2024-06-07 09:29:06 $91.61 -0.44% +0.05% -0.30% +0.34% -0.24% +0.96% -0.52% -0.13% LOSS
2024-05-21 09:29:59 $91.94 -0.09% +0.64% +0.47% +0.17% -0.40% +0.82% -0.30% -0.09% LOSS
2024-05-03 09:27:26 $90.62 +0.60% +0.47% +0.99% -0.28% -0.71% +1.19% -0.07% +0.40% WIN
2024-05-01 09:27:07 $84.9 +1.52% +1.65% +1.37% +1.38% +2.86% +5.52% -0.24% -0.09% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 49.6% Baseline on XBI

The 49.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XBI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XBI Strategy →

Why Analyze XBI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XBI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XBI historically offers an average upside of +1.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XBI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.6%, XBI shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XBI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.