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XBP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-12-14 → 2024-12-19

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

XBP Global Holdings, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 30, 2023 🔗 www.xbpglobal.com
💰 Market Cap: $94.8M 👥 Employees: 10,998
XBP Global Holdings Inc is a multinational technology and services company that drives intelligent workflows for organizations. Through its proprietary platforms, agentic AI-driven automation, and domain expertise across industries and the public and private sectors, the firm enables its clients to entrust their digital transformations and workflows. By combining innovation with execution excellence, XBP Global helps businesses reimagine business process automation and enable digital transformation.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-3.49%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+17.93%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -3.49%
Avg Winner: +3.32%
Avg Loser: -6.89%
Best: +5.28%
Worst: -12.16%
Trades: 3/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -6.98%
Avg Winner: +2.29%
Avg Loser: -9.63%
Best: +2.74%
Worst: -17.32%
Trades: 2/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -8.97%
Avg Winner: +4.99%
Avg Loser: -12.96%
Best: +7.43%
Worst: -22.94%
Trades: 2/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -8.19%
Avg Winner: +3.04%
Avg Loser: -13.81%
Best: +4.74%
Worst: -29.40%
Trades: 3/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -4.40%
Avg Winner: +16.42%
Avg Loser: -10.35%
Best: +26.18%
Worst: -23.05%
Trades: 2/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +17.93%
Best MFE: +123.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 65 min

On average, XBP alerts reach +17.93% profit potential within 65 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.02%
Worst MAE: -15.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.98:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.98x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, XBP typically reaches +17.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 14.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 55.6%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +2.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How XBP compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XBP: -3.49% Sector: -0.05% -3.44%
EOD Gain
XBP: -4.40% Sector: +1758.96% -1763.36%
Avg MFE
XBP: +17.93% Sector: +2.89% +15.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XBP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-19 09:27:05 $0.84 +1.96% -0.01% -4.77% +1.89% +26.18% +123.78% -5.96% -0.01% WIN
2024-11-13 09:29:28 $1.2 -1.67% -8.62% -7.50% -0.83% +6.67% +13.33% -15.00% +2.50% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:28:42 $1.48 -10.81% -14.30% -16.76% -14.26% -10.14% +1.35% -12.16% -0.68% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:28:39 $1.48 +2.71% +2.74% +7.43% +4.74% -9.46% +9.46% - +1.35% WIN
2024-06-28 09:29:33 $1.83 -6.56% -5.21% -4.37% -7.09% -4.37% +1.09% -4.92% +1.09% LOSS
2024-05-07 09:29:13 $3.38 -2.36% -6.09% -12.04% -11.83% -2.37% +1.18% -1.18% +0.30% LOSS
2024-05-06 09:29:28 $4.36 -12.16% -17.32% -22.94% -19.43% -19.72% -0.69% -8.26% -0.92% LOSS
2023-12-15 09:27:00 $7.2 +5.28% +1.84% +2.55% +2.50% -3.33% +11.11% -1.11% +0.83% WIN
2023-12-14 09:27:00 $11.02 -7.80% -15.88% -22.32% -29.40% -23.05% +0.73% -5.63% -4.45% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ XBP Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -3.49% average gain, XBP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider XBP for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze XBP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XBP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XBP historically offers an average upside of +17.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XBP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, XBP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests XBP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: XBP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -3.49%). This suggests XBP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.