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XFOR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 57 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-02 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (57 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

X4 Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 16, 2017 🔗 www.x4pharma.com
💰 Market Cap: $323.5M 👥 Employees: 143
X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company developing and commercializing novel therapeutics for the treatment of rare diseases of the immune system. The Company's lead clinical candidate is mavorixafor, a small molecule antagonist of the chemokine receptor CXCR4 that is being developed as an oral, once-daily therapy. It can increase the mobilization of mature, functional white blood cells from the bone marrow into the bloodstream. It also has two pre-clinical candidates X4P-003 and X4P-002 which are CXCR4 antagonists with different properties.
📊
57
Total Alerts
🎯
82.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1953.29%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+8.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 19.3%
Avg Gain: -1.96%
Avg Winner: +2.64%
Avg Loser: -3.35%
Best: +9.28%
Worst: -12.81%
Trades: 11/42

15MIN

Win Rate: 24.6%
Avg Gain: -2.13%
Avg Winner: +4.24%
Avg Loser: -4.41%
Best: +12.31%
Worst: -20.46%
Trades: 14/41

30MIN

Win Rate: 26.3%
Avg Gain: -2.45%
Avg Winner: +4.28%
Avg Loser: -4.85%
Best: +10.16%
Worst: -25.70%
Trades: 15/42

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -1.66%
Avg Winner: +5.09%
Avg Loser: -5.91%
Best: +12.62%
Worst: -24.90%
Trades: 22/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 82.5%
Avg Gain: +1953.29%
Avg Winner: +2372.09%
Avg Loser: -15.08%
Best: +3810.97%
Worst: -44.54%
Trades: 47/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.62%
Best MFE: +56.69%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, XFOR alerts reach +8.62% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.14%
Worst MAE: -9.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.75:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.75x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, XFOR typically reaches +8.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 57
Gap Up % 29.8%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +8.25%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How XFOR compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XFOR: -1.96% Sector: -0.41% -1.55%
EOD Gain
XFOR: +1953.29% Sector: +1233.50% +719.78%
Avg MFE
XFOR: +8.62% Sector: +6.69% +1.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XFOR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:29:16 $0.51 +0.99% +2.95% +7.24% +12.62% +6.84% +16.27% -2.89% -2.10% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:25 $0.58 -2.53% +0.01% +1.73% +6.89% +2.71% +9.90% -4.22% - LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:35 $0.66 -2.40% -1.53% -3.03% -5.09% -9.08% +1.52% -3.03% -1.55% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:28:41 $0.64 +0.22% +2.27% +4.61% +3.40% +10.13% +27.42% -2.45% -1.37% WIN
2025-01-30 09:28:28 $0.81 -12.81% -6.40% -5.11% -7.64% +2346.18% +0.27% -1.48% +0.01% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:23 $0.54 -3.36% -6.16% -6.93% -8.48% +2575.07% -2.00% -2.89% -2.89% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:25:35 $0.57 -8.74% -9.12% -10.87% -11.78% +2294.33% +1.51% +1.51% -0.19% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:17 $0.6 -4.45% -13.00% -12.94% -13.30% +2727.44% +0.02% -1.63% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:26:16 $0.66 -1.17% -2.18% -4.69% -6.60% +2507.96% - -2.41% -2.41% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:26:40 $0.55 -0.58% +12.31% -6.00% -0.61% +3551.84% +30.15% -7.38% - LOSS
2024-11-15 09:28:44 $0.4 -8.75% -5.88% -4.50% -2.75% +0.88% +2.50% -2.88% +2.50% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:25:07 $0.31 -3.02% +7.66% -0.70% +6.71% +3810.97% +56.69% -3.02% -2.99% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:27:57 $0.5 - -19.00% -25.70% -24.90% -44.54% +4.00% -0.02% +3.50% -
2024-08-08 09:28:02 $0.66 +0.41% +1.18% +0.51% -3.40% +2849.74% +5.13% -0.39% +5.13% WIN
2024-06-28 09:25:11 $0.7 -1.42% -4.29% -7.13% -14.20% +2385.71% +1.41% - - LOSS
2024-06-27 09:25:45 $0.87 -2.40% -7.68% -5.16% -13.79% -22.98% +2.30% - +1.86% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:26:00 $0.65 -1.06% +1.23% -0.02% -2.25% +3189.85% +10.15% -2.91% -0.03% LOSS
2023-12-12 09:29:00 $0.61 -1.64% -1.69% -2.92% -2.77% +2957.05% +5.74% -6.18% -1.62% LOSS
2023-12-11 09:29:00 $0.68 -4.12% -4.41% -2.94% -5.13% -10.87% +2.94% -4.41% +1.47% LOSS
2023-12-08 09:28:00 $0.92 -3.27% -0.15% -1.42% +1.04% +2786.23% +2.84% -3.27% +0.55% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 82.5% Baseline on XFOR

The 82.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XFOR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XFOR Strategy →

Why Analyze XFOR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XFOR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XFOR historically offers an average upside of +8.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XFOR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 82.5%, XFOR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XFOR performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1953.29%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.