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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$XGN

Trade-Ideas alerts 66.7% at 15-min n=3 2022-11-25 → 2026-08-04

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Exagen Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES (SIC 8071)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 2019 🔗 www.exagen.com
💰 Market Cap: $197.9M 👥 Employees: 220
Exagen Inc is a medical technology company focused on the design, development and commercialization of diagnostic testing products under its AVISE brand. These products are used for the differential diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring of rheumatic, autoimmune, and related diseases, including systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The company operates in one operating segment. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from sales of its testing products.
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
66.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.07%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+16.03%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading XGN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +2.81%
Avg Winner: +11.23%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +11.23%
Worst: -2.70%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +3.62%
Avg Loser: -7.46%
Best: +3.63%
Worst: -7.46%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +4.04%
Avg Winner: +9.41%
Avg Loser: -6.68%
Best: +10.73%
Worst: -6.68%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +3.56%
Avg Winner: +10.87%
Avg Loser: -11.05%
Best: +16.40%
Worst: -11.05%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +4.91%
Avg Winner: +18.28%
Avg Loser: -21.85%
Best: +25.55%
Worst: -21.85%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +16.03%
Best MFE: +30.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, XGN alerts reach +16.03% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.64%
Worst MAE: -3.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.08:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.08x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, XGN typically reaches +16.03% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap +0.71%
Best Gap +5.99%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES

How XGN compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XGN: +2.81% Sector: -0.12% +2.93%
EOD Gain
XGN: +4.91% Sector: +452296.46% -452291.56%
Avg MFE
XGN: +16.03% Sector: +9.23% +6.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XGN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $5.81 +11.23% +3.61% +8.09% +5.34% +11.02% +17.56% -3.27% -1.03% WIN
2026-05-11 09:25:00 $3.17 -0.10% +3.63% +10.73% +16.40% +25.55% +30.28% -2.84% +5.99% LOSS
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $3.89 -2.70% -7.46% -6.68% -11.05% -21.85% +0.26% -1.80% -2.83% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ XGN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, XGN has -0.07% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making XGN profitable.

🔧 Fix XGN Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze XGN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XGN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XGN historically offers an average upside of +16.03% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XGN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, XGN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-7.46%) outweigh average wins (+3.62%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: XGN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.07%). This suggests XGN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.