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Latest signal:

XGN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-25 → 2022-11-25

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Exagen Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES (SIC 8071)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 2019 🔗 www.exagen.com
💰 Market Cap: $104.3M 👥 Employees: 209
Exagen Inc is a commercial-stage diagnostics company committed to addressing the unmet need for the accurate diagnosis and monitoring of patients affected by autoimmune rheumatic diseases. It currently markets ten testing products under its Avise brand to provide an accurate, timely, and differential diagnosis and to optimize the treatment of ARDs. It markets and sells solutions to community rheumatologists.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-2.70%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.70%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.70%
Best: -2.70%
Worst: -2.70%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.46%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.46%
Best: -7.46%
Worst: -7.46%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.68%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.68%
Best: -6.68%
Worst: -6.68%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -11.05%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -11.05%
Best: -11.05%
Worst: -11.05%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -21.85%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -21.85%
Best: -21.85%
Worst: -21.85%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.26%
Best MFE: +0.26%
Avg Time to MFE: 0 min

On average, XGN alerts reach +0.26% profit potential within 0 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.80%
Worst MAE: -1.80%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.14:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, XGN typically reaches +0.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -2.83%
Best Gap -2.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES

How XGN compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XGN: -2.70% Sector: -0.18% -2.52%
EOD Gain
XGN: -21.85% Sector: +911658.96% -911680.81%
Avg MFE
XGN: +0.26% Sector: +11.20% -10.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XGN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $3.89 -2.70% -7.46% -6.68% -11.05% -21.85% +0.26% -1.80% -2.83% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ XGN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -2.70% average gain, XGN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider XGN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze XGN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XGN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XGN historically offers an average upside of +0.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XGN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, XGN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests XGN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: XGN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -2.70%). This suggests XGN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.