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Latest signal:

XLE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 545 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-03

🏢 Company Profile

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 07, 2008
📊
545
Total Alerts
🎯
51.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.13%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.31%
Avg Loser: -0.31%
Best: +1.05%
Worst: -1.51%
Trades: 276/266

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.5%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +2.04%
Worst: -3.29%
Trades: 275/265

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.6%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +3.23%
Worst: -3.93%
Trades: 276/265

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +3.49%
Worst: -3.49%
Trades: 280/262

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +5.56%
Worst: -6.45%
Trades: 283/261

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.13%
Best MFE: +5.96%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, XLE alerts reach +1.13% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.48%
Worst MAE: -3.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 545 alerts, XLE typically reaches +1.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 545
Gap Up % 43.3%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +0.77%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XLE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:29:07 $87.53 -0.62% -0.13% -0.32% +0.47% +0.75% +1.16% -0.80% +0.11% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:28:47 $90.16 -1.33% -1.38% -2.31% -2.01% -2.79% -0.06% -0.47% -0.28% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:24 $90.85 -0.30% -0.79% -0.48% -0.15% -0.54% +0.34% -0.87% +0.17% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:44 $93.86 -0.22% -0.61% -0.40% -0.65% -0.40% +0.15% -0.75% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:16 $91.71 +0.26% +0.38% +0.62% +0.63% +0.94% +1.19% -0.34% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:00 $89.34 +0.18% +0.24% +0.12% -0.71% -1.06% +0.96% -0.27% -0.19% WIN
2025-01-02 09:28:13 $86.6 -0.31% +0.27% +0.42% +0.37% +0.07% +0.80% -0.41% -0.28% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:28:57 $84.64 -0.17% -0.54% -0.47% -0.70% -0.11% +0.46% -0.93% -0.08% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:25:36 $84.81 +0.17% -0.12% -0.53% -0.67% -1.76% +0.47% -0.08% +0.15% WIN
2024-11-25 09:28:10 $97.14 +0.39% -0.08% -0.13% -0.54% -1.84% +0.62% -0.03% +0.11% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:35 $91.94 +0.79% +0.41% +0.35% +1.51% +1.76% +2.53% -0.05% +0.77% WIN
2024-11-01 09:28:06 $89.66 +0.26% +0.16% -0.19% -0.23% -1.82% +0.50% -0.13% +0.14% WIN
2024-10-30 09:29:02 $88.13 -0.06% +0.27% +0.46% +0.14% -0.10% +0.68% -0.36% +0.02% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:26:30 $87.87 +0.60% +0.60% +0.71% +1.09% +1.51% +1.58% -0.10% -0.01% WIN
2024-10-15 09:27:51 $90.35 +0.07% -0.22% -0.23% +0.09% -0.63% +0.61% -0.64% -0.06% WIN
2024-10-08 09:28:54 $92.48 -1.10% -1.60% -1.64% -1.77% -1.52% +0.10% -0.21% -0.19% LOSS
2024-10-07 09:25:31 $93.64 -0.16% -0.01% +0.44% -0.13% -0.14% +0.61% -0.47% -0.14% LOSS
2024-10-04 09:25:55 $93.09 -0.16% -0.47% -0.31% -0.14% +0.10% +0.40% -0.90% +0.01% LOSS
2024-10-02 09:29:03 $91.05 -0.45% -0.58% -0.06% -0.28% -0.36% +0.26% -0.83% +0.01% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:26:03 $85.29 +0.70% +1.01% +0.67% +1.11% +0.19% +1.51% -0.20% +0.16% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.9% Baseline on XLE

The 51.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XLE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XLE Strategy →

Why Analyze XLE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XLE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XLE historically offers an average upside of +1.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XLE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.9%, XLE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XLE performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.