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XLK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 225 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-03

🏢 Company Profile

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 07, 2008
📊
225
Total Alerts
🎯
55.8%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.8%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.21%
Avg Loser: -0.18%
Best: +0.72%
Worst: -0.72%
Trades: 125/98

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +1.87%
Worst: -1.36%
Trades: 117/105

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +2.34%
Worst: -1.59%
Trades: 123/100

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +2.68%
Worst: -2.35%
Trades: 119/104

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +7.39%
Worst: -3.64%
Trades: 118/104

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.10%
Best MFE: +7.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 179 min

On average, XLK alerts reach +1.10% profit potential within 179 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.43%
Worst MAE: -3.60%
Avg Time to MAE: 29 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.43%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 225 alerts, XLK typically reaches +1.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 225
Gap Up % 41.8%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.68%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XLK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:25:25 $225.67 +0.06% +0.17% -0.29% +0.60% +0.90% +1.52% -0.52% +0.01% WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:13 $229.02 -0.26% -0.86% -0.24% +1.10% +2.02% +2.24% -1.02% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:23 $229.12 +0.52% +0.25% +0.67% +0.44% -0.68% +0.81% -0.36% -0.24% WIN
2025-01-14 09:29:25 $228.71 +0.15% +0.29% -0.44% -0.16% -0.42% +0.37% -0.17% +0.09% WIN
2025-01-13 09:27:30 $225.21 +0.04% -0.29% +0.28% -0.12% +0.87% +0.94% -0.34% -0.05% WIN
2024-12-20 09:25:54 $230.81 -0.06% +0.22% +0.17% +0.99% +2.23% +3.05% -0.27% +0.04% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:29:56 $239.93 +0.18% +0.48% +0.30% -0.16% -0.37% +0.50% +0.10% +0.10% WIN
2024-11-01 09:26:02 $222.64 +0.08% +0.38% +0.58% +1.10% +0.57% +1.32% -0.21% -0.07% WIN
2024-09-19 09:26:07 $222.85 +0.16% +0.32% -0.01% +0.33% +0.35% +0.97% -0.36% +0.19% WIN
2024-09-05 09:29:05 $208.45 +0.18% +0.75% +1.09% +1.36% +0.43% +1.68% -0.16% -0.14% WIN
2024-08-05 09:28:16 $191.95 +0.42% +1.31% +2.34% +2.30% +3.10% +5.09% -0.63% -0.02% WIN
2024-08-01 09:29:22 $218.38 +0.31% +0.86% +0.81% -0.42% -3.54% +1.08% -0.21% -0.08% WIN
2024-07-31 09:28:27 $216.5 -0.51% -0.21% +0.29% +0.23% +1.06% +1.43% -0.75% -0.05% LOSS
2024-06-21 09:27:31 $228.86 -0.12% -0.35% -0.46% -0.28% -0.20% +0.39% -0.65% - LOSS
2024-06-13 09:26:54 $226.94 +0.24% +0.15% -0.10% -0.38% -0.05% +0.36% -0.02% +0.08% WIN
2024-05-28 09:28:23 $216.7 -0.42% -0.41% -0.63% -0.40% -0.28% -0.06% -0.79% -0.13% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:29:04 $195.67 -0.34% -0.22% -0.17% +0.18% +0.99% +1.42% -0.50% -0.06% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:29:45 $206.3 +0.14% +0.33% +0.35% +0.06% -0.43% +0.47% -0.06% +0.00% WIN
2024-03-15 09:28:28 $205.75 +0.17% -0.10% +0.03% +0.03% -0.06% +0.47% -0.26% +0.01% WIN
2024-03-08 09:26:39 $210.91 +0.01% -0.14% +0.31% +0.53% -1.69% +0.68% -0.24% -0.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.8% Baseline on XLK

The 55.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XLK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XLK Strategy →

Why Analyze XLK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XLK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XLK historically offers an average upside of +1.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XLK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.8%, XLK shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XLK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.