Latest signal:
XLP Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 51 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-01-27
⚠️ Small sample size (51 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, XLP alerts reach +0.48% profit potential within 142 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.31%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 51 alerts, XLP typically reaches +0.48% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical XLP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-27 | 09:25:27 | $78.39 | +1.11% | +1.24% | +0.83% | +0.93% | +2.07% | +2.26% | +0.08% | +0.38% | WIN |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:25:19 | $81.1 | -0.42% | -0.75% | -0.84% | -1.28% | -1.90% | +0.14% | -0.42% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:29:12 | $80.4 | -0.16% | -0.22% | -0.31% | -0.01% | -0.31% | +0.06% | -0.39% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-04 | 09:29:20 | $81.0 | +0.47% | +0.48% | +0.24% | +0.30% | +0.58% | +0.70% | -0.06% | +0.09% | WIN |
| 2024-09-09 | 09:26:12 | $83.26 | -0.24% | -0.25% | +0.11% | +0.23% | +0.44% | +0.64% | -0.48% | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:27:43 | $78.88 | +0.13% | -0.43% | -0.61% | -0.89% | -1.50% | +0.60% | +0.04% | +0.30% | WIN |
| 2024-08-02 | 09:29:29 | $79.23 | +0.42% | +0.25% | +0.50% | -0.68% | +0.04% | +0.66% | -0.16% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2024-03-01 | 09:29:14 | $74.42 | -0.50% | -0.58% | -0.52% | -0.19% | +0.05% | +0.16% | -0.65% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-21 | 09:27:00 | $70.48 | +0.28% | +0.21% | +0.16% | +0.18% | +0.28% | +0.38% | -0.51% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2023-12-20 | 09:25:00 | $71.38 | -0.25% | -0.42% | -0.48% | -0.55% | -1.67% | -0.15% | -0.52% | -0.38% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:26:00 | $70.69 | +0.38% | +0.52% | +0.65% | +0.52% | +0.50% | +0.83% | -0.18% | -0.18% | WIN |
| 2023-11-16 | 09:27:00 | $69.99 | -0.41% | -0.46% | -0.33% | -0.41% | -0.59% | +0.04% | -0.39% | -0.39% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-09 | 09:29:00 | $68.83 | -0.28% | -0.40% | -0.41% | -0.39% | -0.51% | +0.10% | -0.13% | +0.01% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-01 | 09:25:00 | $67.78 | +0.06% | -0.22% | -0.30% | +0.18% | +0.01% | +0.40% | -0.55% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2023-10-10 | 09:27:00 | $67.2 | -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.21% | +0.67% | +0.31% | +0.80% | -0.19% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-20 | 09:28:00 | $71.52 | +0.05% | -0.29% | -0.27% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.56% | -0.40% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2023-07-13 | 09:28:00 | $74.06 | -0.30% | -0.27% | -0.47% | -0.41% | -0.04% | +0.14% | -0.69% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-23 | 09:27:00 | $74.36 | -0.23% | -0.23% | -0.16% | -0.15% | -0.78% | +0.04% | -0.28% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-07 | 09:26:00 | $72.66 | -0.30% | -0.10% | -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.10% | +0.37% | -0.52% | -0.22% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-11 | 09:28:00 | $76.41 | +0.17% | - | -0.30% | +0.04% | +0.54% | +0.60% | -0.34% | +0.21% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ XLP Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.0% win rate, XLP has -0.04% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making XLP profitable.
🔧 Fix XLP Risk/Reward →Why Analyze XLP with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XLP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, XLP historically offers an average upside of +0.48% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 XLP Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.0%, XLP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.30%) outweigh average wins (+0.22%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: XLP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.04%). This suggests XLP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.