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XOP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 117 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2025-01-31

🏢 Company Profile

State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 07, 2008
📊
117
Total Alerts
🎯
55.6%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +1.40%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 53/62

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +2.53%
Worst: -3.16%
Trades: 65/51

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +3.09%
Worst: -4.01%
Trades: 63/54

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: +3.49%
Worst: -4.27%
Trades: 62/54

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.73%
Best: +5.18%
Worst: -8.26%
Trades: 63/54

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.82%
Best MFE: +5.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 137 min

On average, XOP alerts reach +1.82% profit potential within 137 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.82%
Worst MAE: -3.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.82%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 117 alerts, XOP typically reaches +1.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 117
Gap Up % 41.9%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +0.73%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XOP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-31 09:29:29 $137.5 -1.29% -1.73% -2.41% -1.77% -2.43% -0.09% -0.63% -0.09% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:48 $136.45 +0.43% +0.60% +0.95% +1.86% +2.54% +3.34% +0.06% +0.73% WIN
2024-09-26 09:27:03 $128.5 +0.87% +1.42% +0.95% +1.30% -0.43% +1.87% -0.12% +0.26% WIN
2024-04-04 09:25:40 $159.2 +0.39% +0.22% +0.50% +0.31% -0.04% +0.68% -0.08% +0.13% WIN
2023-12-19 09:28:00 $137.39 -0.01% +0.33% -0.04% -0.31% +1.22% +1.32% -0.63% -0.28% LOSS
2023-11-22 09:26:00 $135.9 -0.87% +0.55% +0.93% +1.41% +2.06% +2.29% -1.03% -0.11% LOSS
2023-10-13 09:26:00 $147.81 +0.24% +0.10% -0.21% +0.43% +0.51% +1.16% -0.46% +0.20% WIN
2023-10-09 09:29:00 $143.63 +0.01% +0.19% -0.07% +0.54% +1.12% +1.57% -0.66% -0.22% WIN
2023-10-06 09:26:00 $138.0 -0.40% -0.30% -0.39% +0.01% +1.05% +2.16% -0.81% -0.14% LOSS
2023-09-22 09:27:00 $145.13 +0.13% +0.14% -0.08% +0.13% -1.18% +0.70% -0.19% +0.06% WIN
2023-05-31 09:29:00 $118.05 +0.50% +0.39% +0.36% -0.28% +0.03% +1.14% -0.13% -0.04% WIN
2023-05-11 09:27:00 $117.52 -0.18% +0.63% +0.08% +0.05% +0.34% +0.90% -0.31% -0.13% LOSS
2023-05-05 09:25:00 $119.73 +0.47% +0.75% +0.74% +0.82% +0.50% +1.55% -0.03% +0.17% WIN
2023-05-03 09:25:00 $118.23 - +0.75% +0.78% +1.24% -0.15% +1.78% -0.69% +0.01% -
2023-04-03 09:26:00 $133.65 +0.10% +0.35% +0.07% +0.26% +0.17% +1.03% -0.34% -0.14% WIN
2023-03-24 09:27:00 $115.98 +0.01% +0.01% +0.34% +1.14% +3.22% +3.66% -0.61% +0.31% WIN
2023-03-15 09:27:00 $119.7 -1.50% +0.28% -1.68% -1.04% -2.23% +0.58% -1.70% +0.26% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:26:00 $124.25 -0.60% -1.23% +1.03% +1.65% -0.09% +3.00% -2.11% +0.08% LOSS
2023-03-03 09:25:00 $136.0 -0.24% +0.26% +1.54% +1.90% +3.78% +4.27% -0.52% -0.02% LOSS
2023-02-10 09:25:00 $135.74 +0.58% +0.76% +0.84% +1.36% +3.73% +3.79% -0.18% -0.18% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.6% Baseline on XOP

The 55.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XOP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XOP Strategy →

Why Analyze XOP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XOP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XOP historically offers an average upside of +1.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XOP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, XOP shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XOP performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.