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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$XPEV

Trade-Ideas alerts 46.5% at 5-min n=878 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

XPeng Inc. American depositary shares, each representing two Class A ordinary shares
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 27, 2020 🔗 www.xiaopeng.com
💰 Market Cap: $15.44B 👥 Employees: 19,884
Founded in 2015, XPeng is a leading Chinese smart electric vehicle company that designs, develops, manufactures, and markets EVs in China. Its products primarily target the growing base of technology-savvy middle-class consumers in the midrange to high-end segment in China's passenger vehicle market. The company sold about 430,000 EVs in 2025, accounting for about 3% of China's passenger new energy vehicle market. It is also a leader in autonomous driving technology.
Total alerts
878
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
46.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.06%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.66%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading XPEV on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable XPEV setups

Historical XPEV setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +10.78%
Worst: -8.19%
Trades: 407/450

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.54%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +15.92%
Worst: -9.13%
Trades: 391/475

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -1.83%
Best: +20.10%
Worst: -9.41%
Trades: 392/479

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.6%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +2.24%
Avg Loser: -2.07%
Best: +22.06%
Worst: -13.62%
Trades: 373/498

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.1%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +2.64%
Avg Loser: -2.57%
Best: +29.93%
Worst: -14.86%
Trades: 405/465

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.66%
Best MFE: +31.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, XPEV alerts reach +2.66% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.04%
Worst MAE: -10.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 878 alerts, XPEV typically reaches +2.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 878
Gap Up % 40.4%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +6.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XPEV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $9.33 +0.05% -0.63% -0.59% -0.48% -0.86% +0.31% -0.11% +0.21% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $9.64 +0.21% -0.31% -0.47% -0.99% -2.28% +0.30% -0.52% -0.41% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $9.63 +0.05% +0.05% +0.05% -0.21% -0.73% +0.52% -0.42% +0.10% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $9.7 -1.28% -2.26% -1.90% -1.73% -2.36% +0.12% -0.09% -0.50% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $10.01 +0.65% +0.25% +0.50% +0.55% -0.60% +1.10% -0.01% -0.01% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $10.12 +0.31% +0.21% +0.41% +0.06% +0.01% +0.50% -0.19% +0.31% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $10.26 -0.39% -0.24% +0.15% -0.49% -0.10% +1.36% -0.78% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $10.36 -0.39% -0.53% -0.59% -0.58% -0.68% +0.19% -0.29% -0.48% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $10.53 +0.00% +0.10% +0.43% -0.33% -0.47% +0.95% -0.47% +0.19% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $10.4 -0.53% -0.58% -0.48% +0.14% +0.67% +0.77% -1.20% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $10.8 -0.15% -0.66% -0.94% -1.17% -1.68% +0.36% -0.47% +0.27% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $10.5 -0.29% +1.29% +0.43% +1.76% +0.95% +3.14% -0.67% +0.33% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $10.27 +0.15% +0.40% +0.40% +1.22% +0.68% +2.73% -0.10% +0.19% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $10.4 -0.14% -1.16% -0.91% -1.49% -1.63% +0.19% -0.19% +0.19% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $10.66 +0.00% +0.52% +0.66% -0.23% +0.47% +1.41% -0.47% -0.47% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $10.55 +0.09% +0.24% +0.95% +0.24% -0.09% +1.42% -0.28% +0.28% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $10.49 -0.57% -0.86% -0.81% -0.86% -1.43% +0.38% +0.38% -0.29% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $10.85 -0.42% -0.93% -1.02% -1.39% -2.54% +0.13% -0.23% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $10.93 -0.46% -1.04% -0.82% -0.64% +0.00% +0.82% -1.19% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $11.06 +0.27% -0.41% -0.54% -1.13% -0.99% +0.68% -0.18% -0.18% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ XPEV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.5% win rate and -0.06% average gain, XPEV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider XPEV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze XPEV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XPEV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XPEV historically offers an average upside of +2.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XPEV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.5%, XPEV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests XPEV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: XPEV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.06%). This suggests XPEV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.