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Latest signal:

XXII Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 45 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2025-01-16

⚠️ Small sample size (45 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

22nd Century Group Inc. CIGARETTES (SIC 2111)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 26, 2011 🔗 www.xxiicentury.com
💰 Market Cap: $357,328 👥 Employees: 56
22nd Century Group Inc is a United States-based biotechnology company focused on utilizing alkaloid plant technologies to improve health and wellness with reduced nicotine tobacco, and hemp/cannabis. It has one operating segment; The tobacco segment is engaged in commercializing its proprietary VLNC tobacco plants and cigarette products, which contain nicotine than conventional tobacco and cigarettes, and research cigarettes sold under the brand name SPECTRUM. It derives a majority of its revenue from the tobacco segment.
📊
45
Total Alerts
🎯
75.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+24071149.76%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+12.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.6%
Avg Gain: -0.83%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -2.45%
Best: +5.98%
Worst: -7.57%
Trades: 16/28

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.41%
Avg Winner: +3.79%
Avg Loser: -5.06%
Best: +14.58%
Worst: -12.46%
Trades: 18/26

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -1.49%
Avg Winner: +4.34%
Avg Loser: -6.15%
Best: +24.70%
Worst: -21.05%
Trades: 20/25

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.61%
Avg Winner: +5.78%
Avg Loser: -5.68%
Best: +23.51%
Worst: -18.90%
Trades: 15/28

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.6%
Avg Gain: +24071149.76%
Avg Winner: +31858876.38%
Avg Loser: -5.23%
Best: +86939900.00%
Worst: -15.67%
Trades: 34/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.01%
Best MFE: +107.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 132 min

On average, XXII alerts reach +12.01% profit potential within 132 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.91%
Worst MAE: -19.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.08:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.08x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 45 alerts, XXII typically reaches +12.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 45
Gap Up % 46.7%
Avg Gap -0.12%
Best Gap +4.84%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CIGARETTES

How XXII compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XXII: -0.83% Sector: -0.22% -0.61%
EOD Gain
XXII: +24071149.76% Sector: +7079749.84% +16991399.93%
Avg MFE
XXII: +12.01% Sector: +4.32% +7.69%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XXII alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-16 09:29:49 $7.73 -7.57% -9.78% -7.50% -4.66% +1741.79% +1.16% -2.98% -2.98% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:27:10 $8.0 -0.88% -7.00% -3.50% +0.62% +2119.50% +17.75% -8.75% -3.50% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:02 $6.01 +2.46% -4.83% -11.46% -10.20% +2196.17% +107.82% -13.81% -0.13% WIN
2024-09-24 09:28:08 $0.32 -5.27% -5.09% -6.49% -1.08% +278072.63% - -0.35% -3.92% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:27:00 $0.19 - -5.32% -3.35% -0.21% +5073602.13% +3.19% -6.12% -1.33% -
2023-12-27 09:28:00 $0.19 -2.63% -3.89% -7.16% -7.95% +4850236.84% +1.37% -10.53% -2.63% LOSS
2023-12-13 09:28:00 $0.2 -6.51% -12.46% -9.96% -7.08% +2.20% +3.65% -19.02% +0.10% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:28:00 $0.32 -4.70% -10.19% -21.05% -18.90% +4075886.12% +4.13% -5.21% +4.13% LOSS
2023-11-29 09:28:00 $0.21 -2.28% -2.28% +1.40% +8.09% +6918128.84% +50.33% -2.33% -0.09% LOSS
2023-11-28 09:28:00 $0.21 -2.28% -4.09% -4.14% -3.07% +4970211.77% +0.05% -1.21% +0.05% LOSS
2023-11-07 09:28:00 $0.45 -0.22% -1.72% -3.73% -3.45% +4697935.79% +2.41% -1.33% +2.41% LOSS
2023-11-06 09:28:00 $0.5 +5.98% +7.90% +3.98% -5.88% -10.00% +7.90% -2.00% - WIN
2023-10-17 09:29:00 $0.49 +2.10% -1.92% +1.02% +8.27% +15.41% +18.37% -2.82% +2.04% WIN
2023-09-06 09:25:00 $1.47 -1.87% -1.53% -2.04% +1.26% +2.04% +6.80% -6.12% -0.68% LOSS
2023-09-05 09:28:00 $1.27 +0.79% +0.79% +1.57% +8.66% +6024088.98% +33.04% -0.79% +1.57% WIN
2023-08-14 09:27:00 $2.35 -4.26% -4.68% -9.36% -7.02% -2.55% +2.48% -10.64% -1.70% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:28:00 $3.6 +0.28% +4.44% +4.44% -0.83% -2.78% +6.11% -0.28% +0.56% WIN
2023-07-25 09:29:00 $3.0 -1.37% -3.71% -5.38% -6.71% -2.67% +1.33% -2.00% +1.33% LOSS
2023-07-24 09:26:00 $2.85 +2.81% +10.48% +9.12% +2.11% +9.65% +21.40% -0.70% +1.75% WIN
2023-07-21 09:25:00 $3.72 +4.84% +7.12% +8.33% +5.77% +6476996.77% +85.22% - +4.84% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.6% Baseline on XXII

The 75.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XXII's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XXII Strategy →

Why Analyze XXII with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XXII. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XXII historically offers an average upside of +12.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XXII Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.6%, XXII shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XXII performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +24071149.76%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.